Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:19:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 25.1/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,929.91
Current Value
$12,023.82
Period P&L
$2,093.92
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+11.07%
Worst Trade
-8.74%
Avg Trade Return
+2.75%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,934.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,093.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,093.92
Gross Return
+21.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,929.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $156.87 62 $9,725.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.33 62 $9,134.46 $9,172.26 $-591.17
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $157.54 58 $9,137.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $173.43 58 $10,058.94 $10,094.17 +$921.91
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $172.03 58 $9,977.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $191.08 58 $11,082.64 $11,199.07 +$1,104.90
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $245.42 45 $11,043.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:55am ET $272.59 45 $12,266.55 $12,421.63 +$1,222.56
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $279.01 44 $12,276.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 44 $11,481.80 $11,626.99 $-794.64
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:50am ET $327.58 35 $11,465.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $361.63 35 $12,657.16 $12,819.03 +$1,192.04
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $353.99 36 $12,743.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $330.57 36 $11,900.34 $11,975.73 $-843.30
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $367.51 32 $11,760.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $335.38 32 $10,732.16 $10,947.57 $-1,028.16
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:10am ET $356.90 30 $10,707.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $392.78 30 $11,783.40 $12,023.82 +$1,076.25
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,023.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,023.82
Total Return: +20.24%
Back to Yolanda YOLO