Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,405.92
Current Value
$6,155.30
Period P&L
$-3,250.65
Max Drawdown
-40.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+10.09%
Worst Trade
-16.87%
Avg Trade Return
-4.94%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,893.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,250.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,250.65
Gross Return
-34.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-34.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,405.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 165 $9,372.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $53.84 165 $8,883.60 $8,917.54 $-488.40
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 209 $8,886.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:55am ET $46.81 209 $9,783.29 $9,814.15 +$896.61
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $45.71 214 $9,780.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $43.40 214 $9,287.60 $9,320.88 $-493.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $44.76 208 $9,309.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $42.44 208 $8,827.52 $8,839.36 $-481.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $48.44 182 $8,816.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $45.28 182 $8,240.96 $8,264.24 $-575.12
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.26 149 $8,233.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.36 149 $7,801.64 $7,832.88 $-431.36
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:15am ET $50.46 155 $7,821.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $47.64 155 $7,384.54 $7,396.13 $-436.76
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $48.06 153 $7,353.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.95 153 $6,112.35 $6,155.30 $-1,240.83
(-16.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,155.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,844.70
Total Return: -38.45%
Back to Yolanda YOLO