Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,903.66
Current Value
$8,138.73
Period P&L
$-2,764.96
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 / 21
Best Trade
+18.80%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$623,287.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,764.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,764.96
Gross Return
-25.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,903.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $14.39 757 $10,893.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $13.66 757 $10,340.62 $10,351.07 $-552.61
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $12.22 847 $10,346.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.57 847 $9,799.79 $9,804.75 $-546.32
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 821 $9,802.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $13.55 821 $11,120.45 $11,122.46 +$1,317.71
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $15.98 696 $11,122.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 696 $12,521.04 $12,521.42 +$1,398.96
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $17.20 727 $12,508.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $16.19 727 $11,773.76 $11,787.15 $-734.27
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 677 $11,779.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 677 $11,182.35 $11,189.70 $-597.45
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET $15.64 715 $11,182.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 715 $13,284.70 $13,291.80 +$2,102.10
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $23.91 556 $13,291.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $22.59 556 $12,559.54 $12,560.16 $-731.64
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $21.97 571 $12,542.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $24.20 571 $13,818.20 $13,836.35 +$1,276.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $26.66 518 $13,809.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $25.06 518 $12,981.08 $13,007.60 $-828.75
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $25.56 508 $12,984.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.06 508 $12,222.48 $12,245.60 $-762.00
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.27 449 $12,244.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $30.21 449 $13,564.29 $13,565.66 +$1,320.06
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $27.25 497 $13,540.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $25.80 497 $12,822.60 $12,847.49 $-718.17
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $26.82 479 $12,846.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET $25.25 479 $12,094.75 $12,095.46 $-752.03
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $23.32 518 $12,079.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.10 518 $11,450.39 $11,466.15 $-629.32
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $21.80 525 $11,445.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $20.66 525 $10,846.50 $10,867.65 $-598.50
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $20.18 538 $10,856.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $19.03 538 $10,238.14 $10,248.95 $-618.70
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $17.53 584 $10,237.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $19.35 584 $11,300.40 $11,311.83 +$1,062.88
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $22.83 495 $11,300.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $21.49 495 $10,635.08 $10,646.06 $-665.77
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET $20.51 518 $10,626.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET $19.48 518 $10,090.64 $10,109.93 $-536.13
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET $21.23 476 $10,103.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $19.63 476 $9,343.88 $9,350.71 $-759.22
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $22.42 417 $9,349.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.01 417 $8,761.17 $8,762.74 $-587.97
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $20.53 426 $8,745.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:40am ET $19.47 426 $8,294.22 $8,311.18 $-451.56
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $19.90 417 $8,298.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET $18.89 417 $7,875.05 $7,887.93 $-423.25
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $17.91 440 $7,880.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $19.71 440 $8,672.40 $8,679.93 +$792.00
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $20.82 416 $8,661.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $19.68 416 $8,186.88 $8,205.69 $-474.24
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $19.99 410 $8,195.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $18.98 410 $7,781.80 $7,791.59 $-414.10
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $18.01 432 $7,780.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET $19.85 432 $8,575.20 $8,586.47 +$794.88
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $21.06 407 $8,571.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $19.96 407 $8,123.68 $8,138.73 $-447.74
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,138.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,861.27
Total Return: -18.61%
Back to Yolanda YOLO