Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,300.17
Current Value
$7,269.33
Period P&L
$-4,030.87
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-13.41

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
0 / 8
Best Trade
-5.03%
Worst Trade
-6.17%
Avg Trade Return
-5.37%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,210.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,030.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,030.87
Gross Return
-35.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,300.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 730 $11,293.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $14.60 730 $10,657.93 $10,665.03 $-635.17
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $13.91 766 $10,655.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $13.21 766 $10,118.86 $10,128.83 $-536.20
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:40am ET $17.18 589 $10,121.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.32 589 $9,609.54 $9,616.40 $-512.43
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $16.27 590 $9,602.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $15.44 590 $9,109.60 $9,123.75 $-492.65
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $15.88 574 $9,112.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $14.90 574 $8,549.73 $8,561.23 $-562.52
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $17.76 482 $8,560.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $16.85 482 $8,124.11 $8,124.63 $-436.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $15.82 513 $8,118.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $14.91 513 $7,651.39 $7,657.80 $-466.83
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $15.99 479 $7,657.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:00am ET $15.18 479 $7,268.83 $7,269.33 $-388.47
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,269.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,730.67
Total Return: -27.31%
Back to Yolanda YOLO