Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:51:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 39.4/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 35.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,508.14
Current Value
$24,086.79
Period P&L
$578.64
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+18.84%
Worst Trade
-9.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$656,927.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$578.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$578.64
Gross Return
+2.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $23,508.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $39.65 592 $23,474.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.53 592 $22,214.80 $22,248.37 $-1,259.78
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 542 $22,232.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 542 $26,422.50 $26,438.03 +$4,189.66
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $75.11 351 $26,363.61 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:20am ET $71.22 351 $24,999.97 $25,074.39 $-1,363.64
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $81.62 307 $25,058.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.43 307 $23,770.67 $23,786.25 $-1,288.14
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $75.17 316 $23,753.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $70.48 316 $22,271.68 $22,304.18 $-1,482.07
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $77.16 289 $22,299.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:10am ET $85.02 289 $24,570.78 $24,575.72 +$2,271.54
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:10am ET $77.39 317 $24,532.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $73.50 317 $23,299.53 $23,342.62 $-1,233.10
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $71.07 328 $23,310.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $78.28 328 $25,675.84 $25,707.50 +$2,364.88
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET $74.65 344 $25,679.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $70.57 344 $24,276.08 $24,303.98 $-1,403.52
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $73.25 331 $24,245.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $65.97 331 $21,836.07 $21,894.30 $-2,409.68
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $67.01 326 $21,845.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $63.61 326 $20,736.86 $20,785.90 $-1,108.40
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $60.37 344 $20,766.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $66.69 344 $22,941.36 $22,961.18 +$2,175.28
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET $72.74 315 $22,911.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $68.88 315 $21,697.04 $21,746.70 $-1,214.48
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $67.60 321 $21,699.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $74.89 321 $24,039.69 $24,086.79 +$2,340.09
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,086.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,086.79
Total Return: +140.87%
Back to Yolanda YOLO