Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:16:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 20.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,044
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,382.39
Current Value
$13,429.51
Period P&L
$767.95
Max Drawdown
-44.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+10.57%
Worst Trade
-6.16%
Avg Trade Return
+2.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$111,675.16
Estimated Fees
$279.19
Gross P&L
$767.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$488.76
Gross Return
+6.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.95%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $12,382.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1.01 12,226 $12,382.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2026 11:10am ET $1.12 12,226 $13,690.90 $13,690.90 +$1,243.34
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $1.27 10,780 $13,690.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 5:00am ET $1.40 10,780 $15,084.78 $15,084.78 +$1,321.95
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $1.52 9,913 $15,084.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET $1.43 9,913 $14,155.95 $14,155.95 $-1,001.93
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.33 10,607 $14,155.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 4:30pm ET $1.27 10,607 $13,429.51 $13,429.51 $-795.41
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,429.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,429.51
Total Return: +34.30%
Back to Yolanda YOLO