Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:26:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 11%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
61.7/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
71.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
87.1/10
Raw Quality 519.0/100
× Confidence 0.11 = 58.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (11%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,382.39
Current Value
$11,275.59
Total P&L
$893.20
Max Drawdown
-12.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+13.51%
Worst Trade
-8.68%
Avg Trade Return
+2.07%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,408.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$893.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$893.20
Gross Return
+8.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,382.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $182.97 56 $10,246.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $170.28 56 $9,535.68 $9,671.75 $-710.64
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $165.50 58 $9,599.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $182.91 58 $10,608.78 $10,681.53 +$1,009.78
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $218.10 48 $10,468.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $222.28 48 $10,669.20 $10,882.17 +$200.64
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $222.32 48 $10,671.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 48 $9,744.72 $9,955.53 $-926.64
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:55am ET $232.68 42 $9,772.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $264.11 42 $11,092.62 $11,275.59 +$1,320.06
(+13.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,275.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,275.59
Total Return: +12.76%
Back to Yolanda YOLO