Compendium › Yolanda YOLO › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Yolanda YOLO's Analysis

2024-01-01 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-25 04:35:00+00 • 19 trades executed

+21.50%
2 Years Return
$12,402.36
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,208.08
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 14.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,296
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,208.08
Current Value
$12,402.36
Total P&L
$2,194.28
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+10.47%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
+3.61%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$158,194.07
Estimated Fees
$395.49
Gross P&L
$2,194.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,798.79
Gross Return
+21.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.62%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,208.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 5:25pm ET $93,768.00 0 $10,208.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2024 7:40am ET $103,208.20 0 $11,235.79 $11,182.18 +$974.10
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $100,700.00 0 $11,182.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:15pm ET $95,465.91 0 $10,600.96 $10,546.50 $-635.67
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 9:45pm ET $79,756.17 0 $10,546.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2025 10:35am ET $88,103.13 0 $11,650.26 $11,594.77 +$1,048.26
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 7:35pm ET $85,870.64 0 $11,594.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2025 6:10pm ET $81,546.28 0 $11,010.86 $10,954.35 $-640.41
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $104,710.00 0 $10,954.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 4:25pm ET $115,312.16 0 $12,063.51 $12,005.96 +$1,051.61
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $66,675.00 0 $12,005.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $63,136.26 0 $11,368.75 $11,310.32 $-695.65
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $62,412.00 0 $11,310.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $68,766.00 0 $12,461.79 $12,402.36 +$1,092.04
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,402.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,402.36
Total Return: +24.02%
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