Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 50%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.50 = 1.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (50%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
48,405
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,910.10
Current Value
$8,401.54
Total P&L
$-1,508.57
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+10.38%
Worst Trade
-20.70%
Avg Trade Return
-1.10%
Avg Hold Time
9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,680.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,508.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,508.57
Gross Return
-15.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,910.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET $218.50 45 $9,832.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 11:00am ET $207.36 45 $9,331.20 $9,408.80 $-501.30
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 9:35am ET $239.85 39 $9,354.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $227.55 39 $8,874.26 $8,928.91 $-479.90
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $227.07 39 $8,855.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $249.93 39 $9,747.08 $9,820.25 +$891.35
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $258.76 37 $9,573.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 11:10am ET $245.38 37 $9,079.06 $9,325.38 $-494.88
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $271.79 34 $9,240.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:15am ET $299.09 34 $10,169.06 $10,253.58 +$928.20
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $298.24 34 $10,140.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $283.32 34 $9,632.88 $9,746.30 $-507.28
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.81 42 $9,736.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $255.24 42 $10,720.29 $10,730.57 +$984.27
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 46 $10,617.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $216.63 46 $9,964.98 $10,077.83 $-652.74
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $311.02 32 $9,952.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $294.20 32 $9,414.40 $9,539.59 $-538.24
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 38 $9,517.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:50am ET $276.47 38 $10,505.86 $10,527.97 +$988.38
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $285.37 36 $10,273.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $226.30 36 $8,146.80 $8,401.54 $-2,126.43
(-20.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,401.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,598.46
Total Return: -15.98%
Back to Yolanda YOLO