MU Yolanda YOLO's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 58 trades executed
+139.83%
2 Years Return
$22,886.44
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$9,542.91
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
49
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
26.6/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
55.3/100
× Confidence 0.88
= 48.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
73,553
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,542.91
Current Value
$22,886.44
Total P&L
$13,343.54
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
52
Winners / Losers
25 /
27
Best Trade
+12.83%
Worst Trade
-16.23%
Avg Trade Return
+2.05%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,881,642.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,343.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,343.54
Gross Return
+139.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+139.83%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,542.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 10:35am ET | $103.33 | 92 | $9,506.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2024 1:10pm ET | $113.67 | 92 | $10,457.64 | $10,494.09 |
+$951.19 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $99.50 | 105 | $10,447.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $111.34 | 105 | $11,690.18 | $11,736.77 |
+$1,242.68 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $97.99 | 119 | $11,660.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $108.77 | 119 | $12,943.63 | $13,020.18 |
+$1,283.42 (+11.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 10:35am ET | $103.86 | 125 | $12,982.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET | $87.00 | 125 | $10,875.00 | $10,912.68 |
$-2,107.50 (-16.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.93 | 116 | $10,895.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $103.45 | 116 | $11,999.62 | $12,016.42 |
+$1,103.74 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2025 10:25am ET | $103.45 | 116 | $12,000.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $95.64 | 116 | $11,093.66 | $11,109.88 |
$-906.54 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.16 | 126 | $11,107.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $99.47 | 126 | $12,532.78 | $12,535.13 |
+$1,425.25 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $94.17 | 133 | $12,524.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.97 | 133 | $11,833.00 | $11,843.52 |
$-691.61 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:50am ET | $88.15 | 134 | $11,812.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $96.98 | 134 | $12,995.32 | $13,026.74 |
+$1,183.22 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $94.29 | 138 | $13,012.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $89.23 | 138 | $12,313.74 | $12,328.46 |
$-698.28 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $82.50 | 149 | $12,292.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $78.08 | 149 | $11,633.18 | $11,669.13 |
$-659.33 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $64.30 | 181 | $11,638.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.00 | 181 | $13,032.00 | $13,062.83 |
+$1,393.70 (+12.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.40 | 180 | $13,031.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $68.37 | 180 | $12,305.70 | $12,337.43 |
$-725.40 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.50 | 104 | $12,220.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.43 | 104 | $11,588.73 | $11,706.16 |
$-631.27 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $103.68 | 112 | $11,612.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $114.10 | 112 | $12,779.20 | $12,873.19 |
+$1,167.03 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $115.38 | 111 | $12,807.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $128.75 | 111 | $14,291.25 | $14,357.26 |
+$1,484.07 (+11.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $159.78 | 89 | $14,220.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $176.07 | 89 | $15,669.99 | $15,806.83 |
+$1,449.57 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $189.79 | 83 | $15,752.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $179.75 | 83 | $14,919.25 | $14,973.93 |
$-832.91 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $192.48 | 77 | $14,820.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $216.74 | 77 | $16,688.98 | $16,841.94 |
+$1,868.01 (+12.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $221.35 | 76 | $16,822.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:15am ET | $243.98 | 76 | $18,542.48 | $18,561.82 |
+$1,719.88 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:45am ET | $241.64 | 76 | $18,364.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $229.24 | 76 | $17,421.86 | $17,619.42 |
$-942.40 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.18 | 86 | $17,559.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:50am ET | $225.18 | 86 | $19,365.76 | $19,425.70 |
+$1,806.28 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $242.33 | 80 | $19,386.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $228.94 | 80 | $18,315.58 | $18,354.88 |
$-1,070.82 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $321.60 | 57 | $18,331.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.80 | 57 | $20,508.63 | $20,532.31 |
+$2,177.43 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $419.84 | 48 | $20,152.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $393.95 | 48 | $18,909.36 | $19,289.35 |
$-1,242.96 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $366.93 | 52 | $19,080.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $384.19 | 52 | $19,977.88 | $20,186.87 |
+$897.52 (+4.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $405.40 | 49 | $19,864.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.00 | 49 | $18,865.00 | $19,187.03 |
$-999.84 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $359.71 | 53 | $19,064.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $400.79 | 53 | $21,241.87 | $21,364.27 |
+$2,177.24 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 50 | $21,200.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $401.88 | 50 | $20,094.00 | $20,258.27 |
$-1,106.00 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.00 | 53 | $19,981.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $357.85 | 53 | $18,966.05 | $19,243.32 |
$-1,014.95 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 56 | $19,090.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $376.67 | 56 | $21,093.80 | $21,246.38 |
+$2,003.06 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $495.54 | 42 | $20,812.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $545.55 | 42 | $22,913.10 | $23,346.80 |
+$2,100.42 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $640.23 | 36 | $23,048.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $707.21 | 36 | $25,459.56 | $25,757.90 |
+$2,411.10 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $772.13 | 33 | $25,480.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $732.24 | 33 | $24,163.92 | $24,441.53 |
$-1,316.37 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $731.76 | 33 | $24,148.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $688.47 | 33 | $22,719.43 | $23,012.88 |
$-1,428.65 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $895.29 | 25 | $22,382.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,009.50 | 25 | $25,237.50 | $25,868.13 |
+$2,855.25 (+12.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,007.96 | 25 | $25,198.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $942.31 | 25 | $23,557.75 | $24,226.94 |
$-1,641.19 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $926.52 | 26 | $24,089.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET | $878.98 | 26 | $22,853.61 | $22,991.03 |
$-1,235.91 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $1,033.68 | 22 | $22,740.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1,137.31 | 22 | $25,020.91 | $25,270.98 |
+$2,279.95 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,078.93 | 23 | $24,815.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,019.03 | 23 | $23,437.69 | $23,893.39 |
$-1,377.59 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,138.53 | 20 | $22,770.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,081.41 | 20 | $21,628.22 | $22,751.01 |
$-1,142.38 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,073.73 | 21 | $22,548.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,012.22 | 21 | $21,256.52 | $21,459.20 |
$-1,291.81 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 23 | $21,104.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 23 | $23,285.43 | $23,640.52 |
+$2,181.32 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 24 | $23,082.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $906.31 | 24 | $21,751.44 | $22,309.24 |
$-1,331.28 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $929.54 | 24 | $22,308.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $881.64 | 24 | $21,159.24 | $21,159.50 |
$-1,149.74 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $808.61 | 26 | $21,023.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $890.48 | 26 | $23,152.48 | $23,287.99 |
+$2,128.49 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $932.00 | 24 | $22,368.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $884.55 | 24 | $21,229.20 | $22,149.19 |
$-1,138.80 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $801.56 | 27 | $21,642.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $760.80 | 27 | $20,541.60 | $21,048.67 |
$-1,100.52 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $871.53 | 24 | $20,916.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET | $827.91 | 24 | $19,869.84 | $20,001.67 |
$-1,047.00 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $841.43 | 23 | $19,352.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $927.25 | 23 | $21,326.75 | $21,975.53 |
+$1,973.86 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.26 | 22 | $21,059.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $906.79 | 22 | $19,949.49 | $20,865.30 |
$-1,110.23 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $909.68 | 22 | $20,012.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1,001.55 | 22 | $22,034.10 | $22,886.44 |
+$2,021.14 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,886.44
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,886.44
Total Return:
+128.86%