Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 15.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,368
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,290.18
Total P&L
$290.16
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
9 / 18
Best Trade
+42.55%
Worst Trade
-14.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$598,461.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$290.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$290.16
Gross Return
+2.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $173.25 57 $9,875.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2024 9:30am ET $166.83 57 $9,509.45 $9,634.05 $-365.95
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 10:50am ET $155.26 62 $9,626.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $171.16 62 $10,611.92 $10,619.89 +$985.83
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $169.93 62 $10,535.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 12:20pm ET $160.80 62 $9,969.60 $10,053.83 $-566.06
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET $153.99 65 $10,009.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $140.02 65 $9,101.30 $9,146.10 $-907.73
(-9.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 10:10am ET $138.88 65 $9,027.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $131.75 65 $8,563.43 $8,682.41 $-463.69
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:35am ET $121.20 71 $8,604.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $135.00 71 $9,584.65 $9,662.21 +$979.80
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET $242.19 39 $9,445.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $229.03 39 $8,932.17 $9,149.16 $-513.05
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 10:10am ET $228.71 40 $9,148.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $326.02 40 $13,040.80 $13,041.76 +$3,892.60
(+42.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 9:55am ET $313.90 41 $12,869.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:55am ET $298.00 41 $12,218.00 $12,390.07 $-651.69
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $312.19 39 $12,175.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $292.31 39 $11,400.09 $11,614.75 $-775.32
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $271.93 42 $11,421.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET $299.44 42 $12,576.27 $12,769.96 +$1,155.21
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $292.81 43 $12,590.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $278.08 43 $11,957.23 $12,136.35 $-633.61
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $218.04 55 $11,992.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $205.55 55 $11,305.25 $11,449.40 $-686.95
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $187.67 61 $11,448.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 61 $12,619.68 $12,620.98 +$1,171.58
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $189.08 66 $12,479.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:25am ET $179.59 66 $11,853.18 $11,994.88 $-626.10
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $166.22 72 $11,967.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $157.76 72 $11,358.72 $11,385.76 $-609.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $146.62 77 $11,289.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $138.87 77 $10,692.99 $10,789.01 $-596.75
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $140.98 76 $10,714.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $155.26 76 $11,799.76 $11,874.28 +$1,085.27
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $150.82 78 $11,763.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 78 $12,948.00 $13,058.71 +$1,184.43
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $176.40 74 $13,053.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 74 $12,019.82 $12,025.24 $-1,033.47
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
21 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $184.52 65 $11,993.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $203.71 65 $13,241.15 $13,272.59 +$1,247.35
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $231.41 57 $13,190.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $219.25 57 $12,497.25 $12,579.19 $-693.40
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $207.75 60 $12,465.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $178.60 60 $10,716.00 $10,830.19 $-1,749.00
(-14.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $178.59 60 $10,715.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET $169.63 60 $10,177.80 $10,292.59 $-537.60
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:40am ET $126.21 81 $10,223.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $119.84 81 $9,707.04 $9,776.22 $-516.38
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $142.76 68 $9,708.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $159.08 68 $10,817.44 $10,885.64 +$1,109.42
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $141.48 76 $10,752.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET $133.65 76 $10,157.02 $10,290.18 $-595.46
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,290.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$290.18
Total Return: +2.90%
Back to Yolanda YOLO