RIVN Yolanda YOLO's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 67 trades executed
-27.25%
2 Years Return
$7,269.33
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,991.92
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality
3.1/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 2.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
72,073
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,991.92
Current Value
$7,269.33
Total P&L
$-2,722.62
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
45
Winners / Losers
15 /
30
Best Trade
+13.74%
Worst Trade
-9.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,165,371.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,722.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,722.62
Gross Return
-27.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,991.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2024 9:35am ET | $11.28 | 886 | $9,989.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 10:25am ET | $10.68 | 886 | $9,458.05 | $9,460.34 |
$-531.60 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 9:45am ET | $10.12 | 935 | $9,459.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 25, 2024 9:45am ET | $10.46 | 935 | $9,779.07 | $9,780.20 |
+$319.86 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $9.78 | 1,000 | $9,775.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 10:30am ET | $10.80 | 1,000 | $10,800.00 | $10,805.00 |
+$1,024.80 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 9:55am ET | $12.29 | 879 | $10,802.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 9:40am ET | $11.58 | 879 | $10,174.43 | $10,176.52 |
$-628.49 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:40am ET | $9.86 | 1,032 | $10,175.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2024 9:35am ET | $10.85 | 1,032 | $11,197.30 | $11,198.30 |
+$1,021.78 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:45am ET | $11.85 | 944 | $11,186.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 6, 2024 10:35am ET | $13.09 | 944 | $12,356.96 | $12,368.29 |
+$1,169.99 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2024 10:10am ET | $13.53 | 914 | $12,364.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 9:50am ET | $14.98 | 914 | $13,691.72 | $13,695.33 |
+$1,327.04 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 2:50pm ET | $13.34 | 1,027 | $13,695.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.98 | 1,027 | $15,384.46 | $15,384.75 |
+$1,689.42 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $15.25 | 1,008 | $15,372.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $14.34 | 1,008 | $14,454.72 | $14,467.47 |
$-917.28 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 10:10am ET | $13.26 | 1,090 | $14,454.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2025 1:50pm ET | $14.61 | 1,090 | $15,924.90 | $15,937.66 |
+$1,470.19 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.70 | 1,163 | $15,933.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.00 | 1,163 | $15,122.84 | $15,127.40 |
$-810.26 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $13.38 | 1,131 | $15,127.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $12.66 | 1,131 | $14,312.81 | $14,313.08 |
$-814.32 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $11.94 | 1,198 | $14,305.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.09 | 1,198 | $13,284.38 | $13,292.26 |
$-1,020.82 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $10.95 | 1,213 | $13,282.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.06 | 1,213 | $14,628.78 | $14,638.57 |
+$1,346.31 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.63 | 1,159 | $14,638.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.75 | 1,159 | $13,618.25 | $13,618.77 |
$-1,019.80 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.52 | 1,087 | $13,609.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $11.82 | 1,087 | $12,842.91 | $12,852.43 |
$-766.34 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $10.41 | 1,234 | $12,845.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $11.84 | 1,234 | $14,610.56 | $14,617.05 |
+$1,764.62 (+13.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $11.24 | 1,301 | $14,616.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $10.61 | 1,301 | $13,803.61 | $13,803.93 |
$-813.13 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 2:50pm ET | $11.38 | 1,213 | $13,803.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 1:05pm ET | $12.55 | 1,213 | $15,217.09 | $15,217.19 |
+$1,413.27 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $13.27 | 1,147 | $15,214.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 2:05pm ET | $12.59 | 1,147 | $14,440.73 | $14,442.97 |
$-774.23 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 10:10am ET | $14.97 | 965 | $14,441.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $14.21 | 965 | $13,707.83 | $13,709.57 |
$-733.40 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:50am ET | $13.03 | 1,052 | $13,702.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $12.37 | 1,052 | $13,013.24 | $13,020.51 |
$-689.06 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 10:45am ET | $11.60 | 1,122 | $13,015.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET | $12.77 | 1,122 | $14,327.94 | $14,333.25 |
+$1,312.74 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $13.89 | 1,032 | $14,329.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 11:40am ET | $13.18 | 1,032 | $13,596.60 | $13,600.53 |
$-732.72 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $14.13 | 962 | $13,593.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 12:45pm ET | $15.58 | 962 | $14,989.79 | $14,997.25 |
+$1,396.73 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.46 | 1,114 | $14,994.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $12.70 | 1,114 | $14,144.12 | $14,146.94 |
$-850.32 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.69 | 1,115 | $14,143.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $14.06 | 1,115 | $15,676.90 | $15,680.06 |
+$1,533.13 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 11:10am ET | $14.63 | 1,072 | $15,678.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $16.10 | 1,072 | $17,253.84 | $17,255.90 |
+$1,575.84 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $17.08 | 1,010 | $17,245.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.52 | 1,010 | $15,675.20 | $15,685.35 |
$-1,570.55 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.58 | 1,075 | $15,677.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:55am ET | $16.09 | 1,075 | $17,291.38 | $17,299.47 |
+$1,614.11 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET | $17.05 | 1,014 | $17,288.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:15pm ET | $16.00 | 1,014 | $16,224.00 | $16,234.77 |
$-1,064.70 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.54 | 875 | $16,224.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $17.62 | 875 | $15,413.13 | $15,423.20 |
$-811.56 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $20.90 | 737 | $15,403.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $19.82 | 737 | $14,607.34 | $14,626.58 |
$-796.62 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $19.61 | 746 | $14,625.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.88 | 746 | $13,334.75 | $13,336.00 |
$-1,290.58 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.37 | 767 | $13,322.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $16.44 | 767 | $12,609.48 | $12,622.69 |
$-713.31 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $15.48 | 815 | $12,612.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $14.69 | 815 | $11,972.35 | $11,982.91 |
$-639.78 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $16.14 | 742 | $11,975.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.22 | 742 | $11,293.17 | $11,300.20 |
$-682.71 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.47 | 730 | $11,293.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.60 | 730 | $10,657.93 | $10,665.03 |
$-635.17 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.91 | 766 | $10,655.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $13.21 | 766 | $10,118.86 | $10,128.83 |
$-536.20 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $17.18 | 589 | $10,121.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $16.32 | 589 | $9,609.54 | $9,616.40 |
$-512.43 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $16.27 | 590 | $9,602.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $15.44 | 590 | $9,109.60 | $9,123.75 |
$-492.65 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $15.88 | 574 | $9,112.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.90 | 574 | $8,549.73 | $8,561.23 |
$-562.52 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.76 | 482 | $8,560.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $16.85 | 482 | $8,124.11 | $8,124.63 |
$-436.60 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $15.82 | 513 | $8,118.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $14.91 | 513 | $7,651.39 | $7,657.80 |
$-466.83 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $15.99 | 479 | $7,657.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $15.18 | 479 | $7,268.83 | $7,269.33 |
$-388.47 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,269.33
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,730.67
Total Return:
-27.31%