Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:48:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 1.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
35,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
13 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-11-14 (18 candles), 2024-11-29 (no data), 2024-12-18 (37 candles), 2024-12-24 (30 candles), 2025-04-25 (14 candles), 2025-04-30 (37 candles), 2025-05-19 (34 candles), 2025-06-09 (38 candles), 2025-07-03 (24 candles), 2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (22 days)

2024-11-11 — Veterans Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth ... and 2 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,448.37
Current Value
$6,599.36
Total P&L
$-2,849.02
Max Drawdown
-39.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
6 / 14
Best Trade
+12.84%
Worst Trade
-11.75%
Avg Trade Return
-1.50%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$321,629.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,849.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,849.02
Gross Return
-30.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,448.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 1:40pm ET $99.71 94 $9,372.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 2:00pm ET $96.27 94 $9,049.38 $9,097.75 $-322.95
(-3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $90.64 100 $9,064.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 2:10pm ET $86.00 100 $8,600.00 $8,633.75 $-464.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 9:45am ET $88.82 97 $8,615.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 11:45am ET $83.48 97 $8,097.44 $8,115.66 $-518.10
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:40am ET $85.28 95 $8,101.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 9:40am ET $94.72 95 $8,998.44 $9,012.50 +$896.84
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $86.32 104 $8,977.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET $97.40 104 $10,129.60 $10,164.82 +$1,152.32
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 11:40am ET $102.56 99 $10,153.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:35am ET $96.68 99 $9,570.92 $9,582.30 $-582.52
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 1:05pm ET $98.28 97 $9,533.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:35am ET $108.26 97 $10,501.22 $10,550.36 +$968.06
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $133.80 78 $10,436.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $118.08 78 $9,210.24 $9,324.20 $-1,226.16
(-11.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 9:35am ET $114.12 81 $9,243.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 12:25pm ET $108.36 81 $8,777.16 $8,857.61 $-466.59
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 2:05pm ET $91.44 96 $8,778.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:10am ET $81.20 96 $7,795.20 $7,874.57 $-983.04
(-11.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:35am ET $77.84 101 $7,861.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $73.75 101 $7,448.59 $7,461.32 $-413.25
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $71.63 104 $7,449.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 10:45am ET $67.99 104 $7,071.42 $7,083.09 $-378.23
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 11:30am ET $59.68 118 $7,042.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:50am ET $57.14 118 $6,742.52 $6,783.42 $-299.67
(-4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET $54.42 124 $6,748.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET $51.34 124 $6,365.86 $6,401.20 $-382.22
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:40am ET $50.88 125 $6,360.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:45am ET $56.00 125 $7,000.00 $7,041.20 +$640.00
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $54.83 128 $7,018.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:45am ET $52.06 128 $6,663.68 $6,686.64 $-354.56
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 120 $6,666.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $61.22 120 $7,346.39 $7,367.03 +$680.39
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $59.34 124 $7,358.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $55.74 124 $6,911.76 $6,920.63 $-446.40
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 137 $6,876.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $47.65 137 $6,528.05 $6,572.51 $-348.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:45am ET $36.70 179 $6,569.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $36.85 179 $6,596.15 $6,599.36 +$26.85
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,599.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,400.64
Total Return: -34.01%
Back to Yolanda YOLO