Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:06:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 20.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,428.02
Current Value
$15,699.14
Total P&L
$7,271.12
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
16 / 17
Best Trade
+15.09%
Worst Trade
-9.26%
Avg Trade Return
+2.24%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$724,388.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,271.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,271.12
Gross Return
+86.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+86.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,428.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:40am ET $245.89 34 $8,360.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:50am ET $232.59 34 $7,908.06 $7,975.98 $-452.03
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2024 9:50am ET $218.83 36 $7,877.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET $247.15 36 $8,897.33 $8,995.61 +$1,019.63
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 10:55am ET $324.86 27 $8,771.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET $357.67 27 $9,657.06 $9,881.45 +$885.84
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 11:05am ET $378.81 26 $9,849.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 1:15pm ET $417.70 26 $10,860.15 $10,892.54 +$1,011.09
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:00pm ET $446.50 24 $10,716.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 12:25pm ET $423.33 24 $10,159.92 $10,336.46 $-556.08
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 10:00am ET $433.98 23 $9,981.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2024 12:30pm ET $411.83 23 $9,472.06 $9,826.99 $-509.48
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET $391.87 25 $9,796.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 17, 2025 10:10am ET $431.83 25 $10,795.75 $10,825.98 +$999.00
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 10:10am ET $406.79 26 $10,576.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $385.49 26 $10,022.74 $10,272.18 $-553.80
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $385.55 26 $10,024.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:50am ET $365.95 26 $9,514.70 $9,762.58 $-509.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:40am ET $317.89 30 $9,536.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 11:00am ET $300.78 30 $9,023.40 $9,249.28 $-513.30
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $286.57 32 $9,170.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:45am ET $271.59 32 $8,690.72 $8,769.76 $-479.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 9:40am ET $265.14 33 $8,749.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 11:50am ET $251.82 33 $8,310.13 $8,330.44 $-439.33
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $228.23 36 $8,216.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 2:35pm ET $251.18 36 $9,042.54 $9,156.69 +$826.26
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET $227.67 40 $9,106.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET $262.02 40 $10,480.98 $10,531.07 +$1,374.38
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET $265.00 39 $10,335.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $244.62 39 $9,539.99 $9,736.05 $-795.02
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 9:30am ET $254.40 38 $9,667.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 11:35am ET $279.85 38 $10,634.30 $10,703.15 +$967.10
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $253.30 42 $10,638.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:40am ET $240.41 42 $10,097.22 $10,161.77 $-541.38
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:40am ET $231.08 43 $9,936.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $219.11 43 $9,421.73 $9,647.07 $-514.71
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $259.22 37 $9,591.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:55am ET $244.87 37 $9,060.19 $9,116.12 $-530.95
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET $229.59 39 $8,954.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 10:20am ET $252.87 39 $9,861.93 $10,024.04 +$907.92
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:10am ET $277.93 36 $10,005.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:05am ET $306.22 36 $11,023.92 $11,042.48 +$1,018.44
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:05am ET $330.06 33 $10,891.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 9:45am ET $313.48 33 $10,344.84 $10,495.34 $-547.14
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $284.88 36 $10,255.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:50am ET $314.05 36 $11,305.62 $11,545.44 +$1,050.11
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 10:05am ET $325.79 35 $11,402.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET $295.61 35 $10,346.25 $10,489.05 $-1,056.40
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $290.80 36 $10,468.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $320.41 36 $11,534.76 $11,555.01 +$1,065.96
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $304.93 37 $11,282.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $340.10 37 $12,583.70 $12,856.28 +$1,301.27
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $417.24 30 $12,517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 1:45pm ET $459.97 30 $13,799.19 $14,138.27 +$1,281.99
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $426.01 33 $14,058.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:40am ET $403.83 33 $13,326.39 $13,406.33 $-731.94
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $403.74 33 $13,323.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:40am ET $444.21 33 $14,658.93 $14,741.75 +$1,335.42
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $387.92 38 $14,740.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.43 38 $15,862.34 $15,863.13 +$1,121.38
(+7.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $368.88 43 $15,861.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $407.77 43 $17,534.11 $17,535.40 +$1,672.27
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET $403.20 43 $17,337.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $381.55 43 $16,406.65 $16,604.66 $-930.74
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $337.91 49 $16,557.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:20am ET $319.43 49 $15,652.07 $15,699.14 $-905.52
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,699.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,699.14
Total Return: +56.99%
Back to Yolanda YOLO