Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:31:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,509.58
Current Value
$7,782.13
Period P&L
$-727.44
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+10.35%
Worst Trade
-8.67%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,807.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-727.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-727.44
Gross Return
-8.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,509.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $277.77 30 $8,333.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.64 30 $7,999.20 $8,175.67 $-333.90
(-4.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $269.50 30 $8,085.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 30 $7,566.60 $7,657.27 $-518.40
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $241.20 31 $7,477.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $237.88 31 $7,374.28 $7,554.35 $-102.92
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET $221.62 34 $7,535.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 34 $6,881.60 $6,900.87 $-653.48
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $219.02 31 $6,789.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $241.68 31 $7,492.08 $7,603.33 +$702.46
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 30 $7,546.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $272.49 30 $8,174.70 $8,231.53 +$628.20
(+8.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 30 $8,001.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $251.72 30 $7,551.60 $7,782.13 $-449.40
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,782.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,217.87
Total Return: -22.18%
Back to Yolanda YOLO