Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 15.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,100.91
Current Value
$12,142.84
Period P&L
$5,041.92
Max Drawdown
-46.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
11 / 10
Best Trade
+24.45%
Worst Trade
-13.79%
Avg Trade Return
+3.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$384,402.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,041.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,041.92
Gross Return
+71.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+71.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $7,100.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $245.51 28 $6,874.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.66 28 $5,926.48 $6,153.10 $-947.80
(-13.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $192.30 31 $5,961.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $211.98 31 $6,571.38 $6,763.18 +$610.08
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $196.32 34 $6,674.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $216.16 34 $7,349.55 $7,437.85 +$674.67
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:55am ET $188.34 39 $7,345.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $207.57 39 $8,095.42 $8,188.02 +$750.17
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $208.94 39 $8,148.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $198.21 39 $7,730.19 $7,769.55 $-418.47
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $330.00 23 $7,590.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.88 23 $7,173.13 $7,352.68 $-416.88
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $342.96 21 $7,202.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 21 $8,962.80 $9,113.32 +$1,760.64
(+24.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $427.28 21 $8,972.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $405.68 21 $8,519.25 $8,659.69 $-453.63
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $489.42 17 $8,320.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $541.50 17 $9,205.50 $9,544.97 +$885.28
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $512.48 18 $9,224.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $485.36 18 $8,736.48 $9,056.88 $-488.09
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $466.00 19 $8,854.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $438.38 19 $8,329.13 $8,532.01 $-524.88
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $508.58 16 $8,137.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:05am ET $563.13 16 $9,010.08 $9,404.81 +$872.80
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:55am ET $517.51 18 $9,315.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:45am ET $569.32 18 $10,247.76 $10,337.44 +$932.63
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET $503.86 20 $10,077.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET $556.50 20 $11,130.00 $11,390.14 +$1,052.70
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET $529.03 21 $11,109.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $500.75 21 $10,515.75 $10,796.16 $-593.98
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $518.86 20 $10,377.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $488.52 20 $9,770.50 $10,189.46 $-606.70
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET $444.79 22 $9,785.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET $492.54 22 $10,835.77 $11,239.85 +$1,050.39
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $463.71 24 $11,129.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $510.30 24 $12,247.22 $12,358.03 +$1,118.18
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $493.74 25 $12,343.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $465.90 25 $11,647.62 $11,662.03 $-696.00
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET $481.25 24 $11,550.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $456.50 24 $10,956.00 $11,068.03 $-594.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $485.79 22 $10,687.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:50am ET $534.64 22 $11,762.08 $12,142.84 +$1,074.81
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,142.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,142.84
Total Return: +21.43%
Back to Yolanda YOLO