Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:43:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
1.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,489
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,319.46
Current Value
$10,030.91
Period P&L
$1,711.44
Max Drawdown
-33.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+10.72%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.68%
Avg Hold Time
7.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$232,977.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,711.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,711.44
Gross Return
+20.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,319.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $33.56 247 $8,289.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $31.82 247 $7,859.39 $7,889.54 $-429.93
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:50am ET $28.28 278 $7,861.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $26.83 278 $7,460.13 $7,487.83 $-401.71
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $26.11 286 $7,467.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.14 286 $7,760.61 $7,780.98 +$293.15
(+3.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $22.66 343 $7,772.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $24.95 343 $8,557.85 $8,566.45 +$785.47
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $23.19 369 $8,558.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $22.03 369 $8,129.07 $8,136.57 $-429.88
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $22.70 358 $8,126.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $22.94 358 $8,214.31 $8,224.28 +$87.71
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $24.60 334 $8,216.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $26.14 334 $8,730.76 $8,738.64 +$514.36
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $25.44 343 $8,726.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 343 $9,661.62 $9,673.73 +$935.09
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $25.72 376 $9,668.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $24.38 376 $9,166.88 $9,171.77 $-501.96
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $22.36 410 $9,167.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $24.64 410 $10,100.35 $10,104.52 +$932.75
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $22.36 451 $10,084.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $24.65 451 $11,117.15 $11,137.31 +$1,032.79
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $24.26 459 $11,135.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $23.00 459 $10,559.29 $10,561.26 $-576.05
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:50am ET $22.00 480 $10,557.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $20.89 480 $10,027.25 $10,030.91 $-530.35
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,030.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$30.91
Total Return: +0.31%
Back to Yolanda YOLO