Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:57:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 26.0/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 23.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,979
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,808.90
Current Value
$14,537.73
Period P&L
$-1,407.34
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+10.35%
Worst Trade
-7.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$272,146.93
Estimated Fees
$680.37
Gross P&L
$-1,407.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,087.71
Gross Return
-8.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.21%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $15,808.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET $76.57 206 $15,771.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $84.37 206 $17,378.42 $17,295.55 +$1,523.76
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $71.74 241 $17,295.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $68.12 241 $16,422.36 $16,338.06 $-957.49
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $57.74 283 $16,338.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 283 $15,443.91 $15,364.46 $-973.61
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $53.92 285 $15,364.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.04 285 $14,542.99 $14,468.23 $-896.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.76 285 $14,468.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 285 $13,413.61 $13,343.90 $-1,124.32
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $46.18 289 $13,343.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:45pm ET $50.96 289 $14,725.10 $14,654.93 +$1,311.03
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $44.17 332 $14,654.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:15am ET $41.92 332 $13,908.41 $13,908.41 $-817.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $40.95 340 $13,908.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 6:50pm ET $45.09 340 $15,314.53 $15,314.53 +$1,333.07
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:15am ET $51.85 295 $15,314.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:10pm ET $49.22 295 $14,537.73 $14,537.73 $-851.43
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,537.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,537.73
Total Return: +45.38%
Back to Yolanda YOLO