MARA Yolanda YOLO's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 35 trades in period
-18.91%
Year to Date Return
$7,290.07
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$8,990.39
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
39
+15.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.7
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,015
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,990.39
Current Value
$7,290.07
Period P&L
$-1,700.35
Max Drawdown
-59.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
12 /
23
Best Trade
+12.21%
Worst Trade
-7.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$635,002.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,700.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,700.35
Gross Return
-18.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,990.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.93 | 905 | $8,986.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.99 | 905 | $9,945.95 | $9,949.80 |
+$959.39 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.40 | 957 | $9,948.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.85 | 957 | $9,424.06 | $9,425.84 |
$-523.96 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $9.07 | 1,038 | $9,419.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $8.57 | 1,038 | $8,895.66 | $8,901.65 |
$-524.19 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.78 | 1,143 | $8,898.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $7.30 | 1,143 | $8,345.04 | $8,348.44 |
$-553.21 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.82 | 1,066 | $8,341.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $7.99 | 1,066 | $8,522.67 | $8,529.66 |
+$181.22 (+2.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $7.54 | 1,131 | $8,527.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.39 | 1,131 | $9,489.09 | $9,491.01 |
+$961.35 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $9.18 | 1,033 | $9,482.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.60 | 1,033 | $8,888.96 | $8,897.03 |
$-593.98 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.03 | 985 | $8,894.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $8.57 | 985 | $8,446.37 | $8,448.86 |
$-448.17 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $8.27 | 1,021 | $8,443.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.28 | 1,021 | $9,474.88 | $9,480.07 |
+$1,031.21 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.64 | 1,097 | $9,478.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $8.20 | 1,097 | $9,000.67 | $9,002.65 |
$-477.42 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $8.90 | 1,011 | $8,997.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.34 | 1,011 | $8,431.74 | $8,436.49 |
$-566.16 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $7.68 | 1,098 | $8,432.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $8.45 | 1,098 | $9,283.59 | $9,287.55 |
+$851.06 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $8.49 | 1,093 | $9,279.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 1,093 | $10,274.20 | $10,282.18 |
+$994.63 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $11.41 | 900 | $10,273.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.77 | 900 | $9,693.00 | $9,701.68 |
$-580.50 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $10.39 | 933 | $9,693.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.47 | 933 | $10,701.51 | $10,709.41 |
+$1,007.73 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.83 | 834 | $10,700.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $12.07 | 834 | $10,066.30 | $10,075.49 |
$-633.92 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.47 | 807 | $10,063.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.85 | 807 | $9,558.92 | $9,571.12 |
$-504.38 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.62 | 823 | $9,563.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $12.79 | 823 | $10,526.17 | $10,533.78 |
+$962.66 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $13.65 | 771 | $10,528.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.05 | 771 | $11,599.70 | $11,605.47 |
+$1,071.69 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $13.35 | 868 | $11,592.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $12.55 | 868 | $10,893.40 | $10,906.73 |
$-698.74 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $13.63 | 800 | $10,904.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $12.93 | 800 | $10,340.00 | $10,342.73 |
$-564.00 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $13.93 | 742 | $10,336.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.57 | 742 | $11,552.94 | $11,559.61 |
+$1,216.88 (+11.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $14.05 | 822 | $11,549.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $13.23 | 822 | $10,875.06 | $10,885.57 |
$-674.04 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $13.69 | 795 | $10,879.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $12.79 | 795 | $10,168.13 | $10,174.12 |
$-711.45 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $12.38 | 821 | $10,163.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.73 | 821 | $9,630.33 | $9,640.47 |
$-533.65 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $13.52 | 712 | $9,629.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $12.69 | 712 | $9,038.84 | $9,049.51 |
$-590.96 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.77 | 769 | $9,047.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.91 | 769 | $8,389.79 | $8,392.01 |
$-657.50 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $12.23 | 686 | $8,386.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.53 | 686 | $7,909.58 | $7,915.24 |
$-476.77 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $10.95 | 722 | $7,905.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $10.28 | 722 | $7,425.77 | $7,435.83 |
$-479.41 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $11.36 | 654 | $7,429.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $10.77 | 654 | $7,040.31 | $7,046.70 |
$-389.13 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $9.24 | 762 | $7,040.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.74 | 762 | $6,659.88 | $6,665.70 |
$-381.00 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.68 | 570 | $6,657.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $11.06 | 570 | $6,301.35 | $6,309.45 |
$-356.25 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.49 | 548 | $6,299.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $10.92 | 548 | $5,984.16 | $5,994.35 |
$-315.10 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $10.23 | 585 | $5,984.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $11.27 | 585 | $6,590.03 | $6,599.83 |
+$605.48 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.27 | 585 | $6,592.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $12.45 | 585 | $7,283.19 | $7,290.07 |
+$690.24 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,290.07
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,709.93
Total Return:
-27.10%