MRNA Yolanda YOLO's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 28 trades in period
+15.96%
Year to Date Return
$14,207.43
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$12,252.12
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
24.3/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 21.8
30-Day Momentum
25
+9.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.2
Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,086
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,252.12
Current Value
$14,207.43
Period P&L
$1,955.35
Max Drawdown
-32.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
11 /
17
Best Trade
+11.77%
Worst Trade
-6.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.83%
Avg Hold Time
4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$723,746.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,955.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,955.35
Gross Return
+15.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.96%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 28 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $12,252.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $35.12 | 348 | $12,221.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.28 | 348 | $11,581.44 | $11,611.76 |
$-640.32 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $39.70 | 292 | $11,592.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.38 | 292 | $12,957.50 | $12,976.57 |
+$1,364.81 (+11.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.63 | 261 | $12,953.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.11 | 261 | $12,296.91 | $12,320.05 |
$-656.52 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $46.57 | 264 | $12,294.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $44.19 | 264 | $11,666.16 | $11,691.73 |
$-628.32 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $44.54 | 262 | $11,669.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $42.12 | 262 | $11,035.44 | $11,058.00 |
$-633.73 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $41.75 | 264 | $11,022.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $39.61 | 264 | $10,457.04 | $10,493.04 |
$-564.96 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $42.59 | 246 | $10,477.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.90 | 246 | $11,536.91 | $11,552.81 |
+$1,059.77 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.60 | 228 | $11,536.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $55.72 | 228 | $12,703.02 | $12,719.03 |
+$1,166.22 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $53.54 | 237 | $12,688.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $50.85 | 237 | $12,051.45 | $12,081.50 |
$-637.53 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $53.30 | 226 | $12,045.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $50.60 | 226 | $11,435.60 | $11,471.75 |
$-609.75 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.11 | 238 | $11,450.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $52.97 | 238 | $12,605.67 | $12,626.76 |
+$1,155.01 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.10 | 257 | $12,618.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $54.60 | 257 | $14,032.20 | $14,040.26 |
+$1,413.50 (+11.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $54.87 | 255 | $13,990.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $52.06 | 255 | $13,275.30 | $13,324.73 |
$-715.53 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.17 | 260 | $13,302.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.31 | 260 | $12,561.90 | $12,583.73 |
$-741.00 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $45.93 | 273 | $12,538.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.95 | 273 | $13,909.35 | $13,954.19 |
+$1,370.46 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.09 | 284 | $13,941.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $46.55 | 284 | $13,220.20 | $13,232.83 |
$-721.36 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.05 | 216 | $13,186.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $57.89 | 216 | $12,503.87 | $12,549.90 |
$-682.93 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.05 | 216 | $12,538.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $64.25 | 216 | $13,876.92 | $13,888.02 |
+$1,338.12 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $76.47 | 181 | $13,841.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $84.12 | 181 | $15,225.72 | $15,272.67 |
+$1,384.65 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $75.84 | 201 | $15,243.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $70.72 | 201 | $14,215.72 | $14,244.56 |
$-1,028.11 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.12 | 263 | $14,233.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.55 | 263 | $15,661.65 | $15,672.65 |
+$1,428.09 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $152.76 | 102 | $15,581.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $144.08 | 102 | $14,696.23 | $14,787.87 |
$-884.78 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $139.79 | 105 | $14,677.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET | $131.29 | 105 | $13,785.45 | $13,895.37 |
$-892.50 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $143.40 | 96 | $13,766.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $134.23 | 96 | $12,886.34 | $13,014.83 |
$-880.54 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.50 | 86 | $12,943.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.38 | 86 | $12,244.68 | $12,316.51 |
$-698.32 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.40 | 90 | $12,276.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET | $150.43 | 90 | $13,538.70 | $13,579.21 |
+$1,262.70 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.73 | 93 | $13,552.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.68 | 93 | $12,804.54 | $12,831.14 |
$-748.07 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $139.66 | 91 | $12,708.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $154.78 | 91 | $14,084.98 | $14,207.43 |
+$1,376.29 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,207.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,207.43
Total Return:
+42.07%