Compendium › Yolanda YOLO › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Yolanda YOLO's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 28 trades in period

+15.96%
Year to Date Return
$14,207.43
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$12,252.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:58:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

25
+9.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.2 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,086
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,252.12
Current Value
$14,207.43
Period P&L
$1,955.35
Max Drawdown
-32.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
11 / 17
Best Trade
+11.77%
Worst Trade
-6.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.83%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$723,746.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,955.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,955.35
Gross Return
+15.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $12,252.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $35.12 348 $12,221.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET $33.28 348 $11,581.44 $11,611.76 $-640.32
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.70 292 $11,592.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 292 $12,957.50 $12,976.57 +$1,364.81
(+11.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 261 $12,953.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET $47.11 261 $12,296.91 $12,320.05 $-656.52
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $46.57 264 $12,294.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET $44.19 264 $11,666.16 $11,691.73 $-628.32
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET $44.54 262 $11,669.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $42.12 262 $11,035.44 $11,058.00 $-633.73
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $41.75 264 $11,022.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $39.61 264 $10,457.04 $10,493.04 $-564.96
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET $42.59 246 $10,477.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.90 246 $11,536.91 $11,552.81 +$1,059.77
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.60 228 $11,536.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $55.72 228 $12,703.02 $12,719.03 +$1,166.22
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.54 237 $12,688.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET $50.85 237 $12,051.45 $12,081.50 $-637.53
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET $53.30 226 $12,045.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.60 226 $11,435.60 $11,471.75 $-609.75
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.11 238 $11,450.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $52.97 238 $12,605.67 $12,626.76 +$1,155.01
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:25am ET $49.10 257 $12,618.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $54.60 257 $14,032.20 $14,040.26 +$1,413.50
(+11.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:35am ET $54.87 255 $13,990.83 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $52.06 255 $13,275.30 $13,324.73 $-715.53
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $51.17 260 $13,302.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $48.31 260 $12,561.90 $12,583.73 $-741.00
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $45.93 273 $12,538.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $50.95 273 $13,909.35 $13,954.19 +$1,370.46
(+10.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $49.09 284 $13,941.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $46.55 284 $13,220.20 $13,232.83 $-721.36
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:50am ET $61.05 216 $13,186.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:05am ET $57.89 216 $12,503.87 $12,549.90 $-682.93
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $58.05 216 $12,538.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $64.25 216 $13,876.92 $13,888.02 +$1,338.12
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $76.47 181 $13,841.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:50am ET $84.12 181 $15,225.72 $15,272.67 +$1,384.65
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $75.84 201 $15,243.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $70.72 201 $14,215.72 $14,244.56 $-1,028.11
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $54.12 263 $14,233.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $59.55 263 $15,661.65 $15,672.65 +$1,428.09
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET $152.76 102 $15,581.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $144.08 102 $14,696.23 $14,787.87 $-884.78
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET $139.79 105 $14,677.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $131.29 105 $13,785.45 $13,895.37 $-892.50
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $143.40 96 $13,766.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $134.23 96 $12,886.34 $13,014.83 $-880.54
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.50 86 $12,943.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $142.38 86 $12,244.68 $12,316.51 $-698.32
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $136.40 90 $12,276.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $150.43 90 $13,538.70 $13,579.21 +$1,262.70
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $145.73 93 $13,552.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $137.68 93 $12,804.54 $12,831.14 $-748.07
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $139.66 91 $12,708.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET $154.78 91 $14,084.98 $14,207.43 +$1,376.29
(+10.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,207.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,207.43
Total Return: +42.07%
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