Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:50:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.6/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 55.3/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 48.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,354.89
Current Value
$22,886.44
Period P&L
$4,531.56
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
12 / 17
Best Trade
+12.76%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,259,877.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,531.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,531.56
Gross Return
+24.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $18,354.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $321.60 57 $18,331.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 57 $20,508.63 $20,532.31 +$2,177.43
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $419.84 48 $20,152.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $393.95 48 $18,909.36 $19,289.35 $-1,242.96
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $366.93 52 $19,080.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.19 52 $19,977.88 $20,186.87 +$897.52
(+4.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $405.40 49 $19,864.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $385.00 49 $18,865.00 $19,187.03 $-999.84
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $359.71 53 $19,064.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $400.79 53 $21,241.87 $21,364.27 +$2,177.24
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 50 $21,200.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $401.88 50 $20,094.00 $20,258.27 $-1,106.00
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 53 $19,981.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 53 $18,966.05 $19,243.32 $-1,014.95
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 56 $19,090.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $376.67 56 $21,093.80 $21,246.38 +$2,003.06
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $495.54 42 $20,812.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $545.55 42 $22,913.10 $23,346.80 +$2,100.42
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $640.23 36 $23,048.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $707.21 36 $25,459.56 $25,757.90 +$2,411.10
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $772.13 33 $25,480.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:50am ET $732.24 33 $24,163.92 $24,441.53 $-1,316.37
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 33 $24,148.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:50am ET $688.47 33 $22,719.43 $23,012.88 $-1,428.65
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:35am ET $895.29 25 $22,382.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 25 $25,237.50 $25,868.13 +$2,855.25
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,007.96 25 $25,198.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 25 $23,557.75 $24,226.94 $-1,641.19
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $926.52 26 $24,089.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $878.98 26 $22,853.61 $22,991.03 $-1,235.91
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET $1,033.68 22 $22,740.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,137.31 22 $25,020.91 $25,270.98 +$2,279.95
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,078.93 23 $24,815.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,019.03 23 $23,437.69 $23,893.39 $-1,377.59
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,138.53 20 $22,770.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET $1,081.41 20 $21,628.22 $22,751.01 $-1,142.38
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 21 $22,548.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,012.22 21 $21,256.52 $21,459.20 $-1,291.81
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 23 $21,104.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 23 $23,285.43 $23,640.52 +$2,181.32
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 24 $23,082.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $906.31 24 $21,751.44 $22,309.24 $-1,331.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $929.54 24 $22,308.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $881.64 24 $21,159.24 $21,159.50 $-1,149.74
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $808.61 26 $21,023.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $890.48 26 $23,152.48 $23,287.99 +$2,128.49
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $932.00 24 $22,368.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET $884.55 24 $21,229.20 $22,149.19 $-1,138.80
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $801.56 27 $21,642.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $760.80 27 $20,541.60 $21,048.67 $-1,100.52
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 24 $20,916.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:30am ET $827.91 24 $19,869.84 $20,001.67 $-1,047.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $841.43 23 $19,352.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET $927.25 23 $21,326.75 $21,975.53 +$1,973.86
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $957.26 22 $21,059.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $906.79 22 $19,949.49 $20,865.30 $-1,110.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 22 $20,012.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,001.55 22 $22,034.10 $22,886.44 +$2,021.14
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,886.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,886.44
Total Return: +128.86%
Back to Yolanda YOLO