Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
25.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 65.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 65.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-65 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,946
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$172,618.14
Current Value
$128,252.59
Period P&L
$-50,864.90
Max Drawdown
-85.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
5 / 14
Best Trade
+12.03%
Worst Trade
-5.90%
Avg Trade Return
-1.07%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$5,454,944.13
Estimated Fees
$13,637.36
Gross P&L
$-50,864.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-64,502.26
Gross Return
-29.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.37%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $172,618.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2026 2:15am ET $0.00000582 29,659,486,900 $172,618.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.00000652 29,659,486,900 $193,379.85 $192,464.86 +$19,846.65
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 4:00am ET $0.00000659 29,205,593,235 $192,464.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 4:50am ET $0.00000626 29,205,593,235 $182,827.01 $181,888.78 $-10,576.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $0.00000618 29,431,842,066 $181,888.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $0.00000587 29,431,842,066 $172,764.91 $171,878.28 $-10,010.51
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.00000524 32,801,198,222 $171,878.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:55am ET $0.00000497 32,801,198,222 $163,021.96 $162,184.70 $-9,693.57
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $0.00000491 33,031,508,061 $162,184.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $0.00000466 33,031,508,061 $153,926.83 $153,136.55 $-9,048.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:40am ET $0.00000418 36,635,537,975 $153,136.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 5:50am ET $0.00000395 36,635,537,975 $144,710.38 $143,965.76 $-9,170.79
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $0.00000373 38,596,717,880 $143,965.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000351 38,596,717,880 $135,474.48 $134,775.88 $-9,189.88
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000337 39,992,842,482 $134,775.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000320 39,992,842,482 $127,977.10 $127,320.21 $-7,455.67
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.00000309 41,203,952,590 $127,320.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000342 41,203,952,590 $140,917.52 $140,246.92 +$12,926.71
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:30pm ET $0.00000414 33,876,067,633 $140,246.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET $0.00000393 33,876,067,633 $133,132.95 $133,132.95 $-7,797.42
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $0.00000315 42,264,428,571 $133,132.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET $0.00000299 42,264,428,571 $126,370.64 $126,370.64 $-7,411.07
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.00000296 42,692,783,784 $126,370.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $0.00000280 42,692,783,784 $119,539.79 $119,539.79 $-7,445.62
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $0.00000271 44,110,623,616 $119,539.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:15am ET $0.00000257 44,110,623,616 $113,364.30 $113,364.30 $-6,757.75
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $0.00000231 49,075,454,545 $113,364.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2026 7:20am ET $0.00000256 49,075,454,545 $125,633.16 $125,633.16 +$11,671.37
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.00000388 32,379,680,412 $125,633.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:20pm ET $0.00000427 32,379,680,412 $138,261.24 $138,261.24 +$11,968.34
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.00000400 34,565,310,000 $138,261.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.00000377 34,565,310,000 $130,311.22 $130,311.22 $-8,621.45
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.00000345 37,771,368,116 $130,311.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $0.00000380 37,771,368,116 $143,531.20 $143,531.20 +$12,535.37
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $0.00000498 28,821,526,104 $143,531.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 7:25am ET $0.00000470 28,821,526,104 $135,461.17 $135,461.17 $-8,767.51
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000451 30,035,736,142 $135,461.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:15am ET $0.00000427 30,035,736,142 $128,252.59 $128,252.59 $-7,867.86
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $128,252.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$118,252.59
Total Return: +1182.53%
Back to Yolanda YOLO