RIOT Yolanda YOLO's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
-12.45%
Year to Date Return
$8,138.73
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,296.13
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,296.13
Current Value
$8,138.73
Period P&L
$-1,157.43
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
13 /
27
Best Trade
+18.80%
Worst Trade
-7.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$841,482.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,157.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,157.43
Gross Return
-12.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,296.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.78 | 554 | $9,296.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $18.78 | 554 | $10,404.06 | $10,404.10 |
+$1,107.94 (+11.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $17.87 | 582 | $10,400.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $16.90 | 582 | $9,835.80 | $9,839.56 |
$-564.54 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.70 | 589 | $9,837.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $15.84 | 589 | $9,327.70 | $9,329.49 |
$-510.07 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $14.79 | 630 | $9,317.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $13.96 | 630 | $8,794.80 | $8,806.59 |
$-522.90 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $13.50 | 652 | $8,801.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $12.80 | 652 | $8,342.34 | $8,346.99 |
$-459.59 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $14.49 | 575 | $8,334.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:50am ET | $15.94 | 575 | $9,168.37 | $9,180.74 |
+$833.75 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $15.81 | 580 | $9,172.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $17.41 | 580 | $10,094.90 | $10,102.94 |
+$922.20 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.36 | 657 | $10,091.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.94 | 657 | $11,132.86 | $11,144.29 |
+$1,041.35 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $15.62 | 713 | $11,137.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.63 | 713 | $10,431.19 | $10,438.42 |
$-705.87 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $13.61 | 766 | $10,425.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.98 | 766 | $11,474.68 | $11,487.84 |
+$1,049.42 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $14.05 | 817 | $11,478.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $13.34 | 817 | $10,894.70 | $10,903.68 |
$-584.16 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $14.39 | 757 | $10,893.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.66 | 757 | $10,340.62 | $10,351.07 |
$-552.61 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $12.22 | 847 | $10,346.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.57 | 847 | $9,799.79 | $9,804.75 |
$-546.32 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.94 | 821 | $9,802.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.55 | 821 | $11,120.45 | $11,122.46 |
+$1,317.71 (+13.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.98 | 696 | $11,122.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.99 | 696 | $12,521.04 | $12,521.42 |
+$1,398.96 (+12.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $17.20 | 727 | $12,508.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $16.19 | 727 | $11,773.76 | $11,787.15 |
$-734.27 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.40 | 677 | $11,779.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $16.52 | 677 | $11,182.35 | $11,189.70 |
$-597.45 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.64 | 715 | $11,182.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.58 | 715 | $13,284.70 | $13,291.80 |
+$2,102.10 (+18.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $23.91 | 556 | $13,291.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $22.59 | 556 | $12,559.54 | $12,560.16 |
$-731.64 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $21.97 | 571 | $12,542.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.20 | 571 | $13,818.20 | $13,836.35 |
+$1,276.19 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.66 | 518 | $13,809.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.06 | 518 | $12,981.08 | $13,007.60 |
$-828.75 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.56 | 508 | $12,984.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $24.06 | 508 | $12,222.48 | $12,245.60 |
$-762.00 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $27.27 | 449 | $12,244.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $30.21 | 449 | $13,564.29 | $13,565.66 |
+$1,320.06 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.25 | 497 | $13,540.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $25.80 | 497 | $12,822.60 | $12,847.49 |
$-718.17 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $26.82 | 479 | $12,846.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.25 | 479 | $12,094.75 | $12,095.46 |
$-752.03 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.32 | 518 | $12,079.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $22.10 | 518 | $11,450.39 | $11,466.15 |
$-629.32 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $21.80 | 525 | $11,445.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $20.66 | 525 | $10,846.50 | $10,867.65 |
$-598.50 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $20.18 | 538 | $10,856.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $19.03 | 538 | $10,238.14 | $10,248.95 |
$-618.70 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $17.53 | 584 | $10,237.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.35 | 584 | $11,300.40 | $11,311.83 |
+$1,062.88 (+10.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $22.83 | 495 | $11,300.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $21.49 | 495 | $10,635.08 | $10,646.06 |
$-665.77 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $20.51 | 518 | $10,626.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $19.48 | 518 | $10,090.64 | $10,109.93 |
$-536.13 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $21.23 | 476 | $10,103.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.63 | 476 | $9,343.88 | $9,350.71 |
$-759.22 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $22.42 | 417 | $9,349.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.01 | 417 | $8,761.17 | $8,762.74 |
$-587.97 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $20.53 | 426 | $8,745.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $19.47 | 426 | $8,294.22 | $8,311.18 |
$-451.56 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.90 | 417 | $8,298.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $18.89 | 417 | $7,875.05 | $7,887.93 |
$-423.25 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $17.91 | 440 | $7,880.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $19.71 | 440 | $8,672.40 | $8,679.93 |
+$792.00 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $20.82 | 416 | $8,661.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $19.68 | 416 | $8,186.88 | $8,205.69 |
$-474.24 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.99 | 410 | $8,195.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $18.98 | 410 | $7,781.80 | $7,791.59 |
$-414.10 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.01 | 432 | $7,780.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $19.85 | 432 | $8,575.20 | $8,586.47 |
+$794.88 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $21.06 | 407 | $8,571.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $19.96 | 407 | $8,123.68 | $8,138.73 |
$-447.74 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,138.73
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,861.27
Total Return:
-18.61%