Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:07:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 20.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,741.75
Current Value
$15,699.14
Period P&L
$957.39
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+10.54%
Worst Trade
-5.47%
Avg Trade Return
+1.83%
Avg Hold Time
8.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$129,952.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$957.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$957.39
Gross Return
+6.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $14,741.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $387.92 38 $14,740.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $417.43 38 $15,862.34 $15,863.13 +$1,121.38
(+7.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $368.88 43 $15,861.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $407.77 43 $17,534.11 $17,535.40 +$1,672.27
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:20am ET $403.20 43 $17,337.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $381.55 43 $16,406.65 $16,604.66 $-930.74
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $337.91 49 $16,557.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:20am ET $319.43 49 $15,652.07 $15,699.14 $-905.52
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,699.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,699.14
Total Return: +56.99%
Back to Yolanda YOLO