Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:24:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 36.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$13,140.78
Current Value
$15,957.89
Total P&L
$2,817.11
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+10.82%
Worst Trade
-6.38%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$787,805.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,817.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,817.11
Gross Return
+21.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $13,140.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 10:00am ET $345.86 37 $12,796.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 12:45pm ET $380.87 37 $14,092.35 $14,436.30 +$1,295.52
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $347.71 41 $14,256.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $357.99 41 $14,677.39 $14,857.57 +$421.27
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 9:50am ET $428.14 34 $14,556.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 3:40pm ET $405.50 34 $13,786.83 $14,087.68 $-769.89
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:50am ET $375.59 37 $13,896.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 9:35am ET $351.63 37 $13,010.18 $13,201.04 $-886.65
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 10:35am ET $331.00 39 $12,909.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET $311.58 39 $12,151.43 $12,443.46 $-757.58
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET $338.58 36 $12,188.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 12:20pm ET $373.00 36 $13,428.00 $13,682.58 +$1,239.12
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $329.40 41 $13,505.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET $311.83 41 $12,785.03 $12,962.21 $-720.37
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 11:20am ET $316.22 40 $12,648.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:00am ET $348.41 40 $13,936.40 $14,249.81 +$1,287.60
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
9 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $421.28 33 $13,902.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:40am ET $464.32 33 $15,322.40 $15,669.96 +$1,420.16
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET $449.00 34 $15,266.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $493.47 34 $16,777.94 $17,181.90 +$1,511.94
(+9.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $487.66 35 $17,068.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 11:05am ET $477.30 35 $16,705.50 $16,819.30 $-362.60
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $507.08 33 $16,733.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $481.54 33 $15,890.74 $15,976.40 $-842.90
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET $493.70 32 $15,798.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:45am ET $471.68 32 $15,093.76 $15,271.85 $-704.55
(-4.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 34 $15,212.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $424.29 34 $14,425.86 $14,485.26 $-786.59
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $376.82 38 $14,318.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $408.04 38 $15,505.33 $15,671.62 +$1,186.36
(+8.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $406.87 38 $15,461.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $384.00 38 $14,592.00 $14,802.56 $-869.06
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $408.00 36 $14,688.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $386.87 36 $13,927.32 $14,041.88 $-760.68
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 37 $13,705.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $410.23 37 $15,178.69 $15,514.66 +$1,472.78
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $404.34 38 $15,364.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $382.79 38 $14,545.92 $14,695.66 $-819.00
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $442.74 33 $14,610.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 33 $16,104.00 $16,189.08 +$1,493.42
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $638.00 25 $15,950.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $707.01 25 $17,675.25 $17,914.33 +$1,725.25
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $678.00 26 $17,628.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET $642.74 26 $16,711.37 $16,997.70 $-916.63
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET $188.45 90 $16,960.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $207.44 90 $18,669.49 $18,706.69 +$1,708.99
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $191.81 97 $18,605.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $182.08 97 $17,661.76 $17,762.93 $-943.76
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $202.89 87 $17,651.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET $192.00 87 $16,704.00 $16,815.50 $-947.43
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $215.51 78 $16,810.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:00am ET $204.52 78 $15,952.56 $15,957.89 $-857.61
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,957.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,957.89
Total Return: +59.58%
Back to Yolanda YOLO