Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:21:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 59%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 31.3/100
× Confidence 0.59 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (59%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,095.85
Current Value
$12,082.09
Total P&L
$2,986.25
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+10.79%
Worst Trade
-5.03%
Avg Trade Return
+3.44%
Avg Hold Time
11.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$190,701.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,986.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,986.25
Gross Return
+32.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,095.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 10:00am ET $166.62 54 $8,997.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $184.60 54 $9,968.40 $10,066.85 +$971.00
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $189.67 53 $10,052.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $180.17 53 $9,549.01 $9,563.21 $-503.63
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:30am ET $165.45 57 $9,430.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 10:25am ET $157.13 57 $8,956.41 $9,088.97 $-474.24
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:35am ET $141.59 64 $9,061.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:20pm ET $156.18 64 $9,995.52 $10,022.73 +$933.76
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 11:00am ET $155.66 64 $9,962.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:55am ET $171.63 64 $10,984.33 $11,044.78 +$1,022.05
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 35 $11,020.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $324.39 35 $11,353.65 $11,378.33 +$333.55
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET $350.30 32 $11,209.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $355.80 32 $11,385.60 $11,554.33 +$176.00
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $320.38 36 $11,533.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $352.54 36 $12,691.44 $12,712.09 +$1,157.76
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $359.70 35 $12,589.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:10am ET $341.70 35 $11,959.50 $12,082.09 $-630.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,082.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,082.09
Total Return: +20.82%
Back to Yolanda YOLO