Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 69.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 62.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
75,487
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$15,665.45
Current Value
$42,415.04
Total P&L
$26,749.63
Max Drawdown
-28.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
54
Winners / Losers
25 / 29
Best Trade
+16.86%
Worst Trade
-8.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.20%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,259,973.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$26,749.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$26,749.63
Gross Return
+170.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+170.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $15,665.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2024 9:40am ET $24.45 640 $15,644.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2024 10:50am ET $26.94 640 $17,241.60 $17,262.23 +$1,596.80
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $25.10 687 $17,243.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 10:45am ET $23.83 687 $16,370.11 $16,388.64 $-873.59
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 10:35am ET $34.78 471 $16,380.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET $39.16 471 $18,444.36 $18,452.37 +$2,063.73
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 10:50am ET $39.57 466 $18,440.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 2:50pm ET $37.50 466 $17,472.67 $17,485.00 $-967.37
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $41.46 421 $17,454.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 2:05pm ET $39.07 421 $16,448.47 $16,478.81 $-1,006.19
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 10:15am ET $38.25 430 $16,447.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:45am ET $42.55 430 $18,296.54 $18,327.86 +$1,849.04
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 10:05am ET $40.56 451 $18,292.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 9:45am ET $45.00 451 $20,295.00 $20,330.30 +$2,002.44
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 11:00am ET $48.47 419 $20,306.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 11:50am ET $53.33 419 $22,345.27 $22,368.73 +$2,038.44
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $49.57 451 $22,356.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:40am ET $54.60 451 $24,624.60 $24,637.26 +$2,268.53
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2025 9:55am ET $61.97 397 $24,602.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2025 3:25pm ET $58.85 397 $23,363.53 $23,398.70 $-1,238.56
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 10:00am ET $49.02 477 $23,382.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 9:50am ET $46.27 477 $22,068.41 $22,084.56 $-1,314.14
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 9:55am ET $49.08 449 $22,036.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $45.12 449 $20,257.67 $20,305.31 $-1,779.25
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:35am ET $45.33 447 $20,262.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET $42.94 447 $19,194.14 $19,236.85 $-1,068.46
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:30am ET $37.91 507 $19,220.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 3:05pm ET $36.01 507 $18,256.36 $18,272.84 $-964.01
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 10:35am ET $37.45 487 $18,235.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 11:20am ET $41.24 487 $20,083.88 $20,121.00 +$1,848.17
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2025 10:20am ET $45.52 442 $20,119.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 9:30am ET $42.84 442 $18,935.28 $18,936.44 $-1,184.56
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $39.48 479 $18,908.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 1:05pm ET $43.47 479 $20,822.08 $20,850.00 +$1,913.56
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $34.96 596 $20,835.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:20am ET $33.14 596 $19,748.46 $19,763.19 $-1,086.81
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $33.38 592 $19,760.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $36.75 592 $21,756.00 $21,758.23 +$1,995.04
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 10:00am ET $40.21 541 $21,753.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:25pm ET $38.15 541 $20,639.15 $20,644.26 $-1,113.97
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:50am ET $41.83 493 $20,622.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 11:40am ET $39.66 493 $19,550.75 $19,572.82 $-1,071.44
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET $46.77 418 $19,549.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $52.73 418 $22,041.14 $22,064.10 +$2,491.28
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
23 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:10am ET $58.22 378 $22,008.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 3:45pm ET $64.08 378 $24,222.24 $24,277.48 +$2,213.38
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 12:45pm ET $72.53 334 $24,225.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:55am ET $80.10 334 $26,752.63 $26,805.10 +$2,527.61
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:50am ET $93.27 287 $26,767.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $102.60 287 $29,444.77 $29,482.81 +$2,677.71
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $98.94 297 $29,385.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET $108.88 297 $32,337.36 $32,434.99 +$2,952.18
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $93.97 345 $32,419.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 12:00pm ET $103.42 345 $35,678.18 $35,693.51 +$3,258.53
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 10:10am ET $109.26 326 $35,618.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $101.57 326 $33,111.82 $33,186.57 $-2,506.94
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $98.46 337 $33,181.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $112.83 337 $38,022.03 $38,027.58 +$4,841.01
(+14.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET $121.14 313 $37,916.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 2:10pm ET $133.59 313 $41,813.67 $41,924.43 +$3,896.85
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $144.18 290 $41,810.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 11:00am ET $136.83 290 $39,680.70 $39,794.38 $-2,130.05
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $124.54 319 $39,726.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $139.73 319 $44,573.87 $44,641.58 +$4,847.21
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $137.39 324 $44,514.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $129.88 324 $42,081.12 $42,208.34 $-2,433.24
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $126.45 333 $42,107.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $120.00 333 $39,960.00 $40,060.49 $-2,147.85
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $118.70 337 $40,000.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $112.65 337 $37,963.05 $38,022.72 $-2,037.77
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET $114.66 331 $37,952.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $108.81 331 $36,014.46 $36,084.72 $-1,938.01
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET $121.24 297 $36,007.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $133.38 297 $39,613.86 $39,691.04 +$3,606.32
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $128.98 307 $39,596.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $121.45 307 $37,286.41 $37,380.59 $-2,310.45
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:55am ET $106.92 349 $37,315.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $101.09 349 $35,280.41 $35,345.92 $-2,034.67
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $93.50 378 $35,343.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $88.73 378 $33,539.94 $33,542.86 $-1,803.06
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 405 $33,477.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $78.44 405 $31,766.54 $31,831.93 $-1,710.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $72.45 439 $31,805.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.73 439 $35,001.47 $35,027.85 +$3,195.92
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET $79.51 440 $34,984.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $75.36 440 $33,156.20 $33,199.65 $-1,828.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $69.28 479 $33,185.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $65.58 479 $31,415.21 $31,429.75 $-1,769.90
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $65.86 477 $31,415.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 477 $36,712.30 $36,726.83 +$5,297.08
(+16.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 509 $36,723.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $79.43 509 $40,429.87 $40,433.52 +$3,706.69
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3d held
47 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $76.92 525 $40,383.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $85.95 525 $45,123.75 $45,174.11 +$4,740.59
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 524 $45,103.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $81.75 524 $42,837.00 $42,907.81 $-2,266.30
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $83.04 516 $42,848.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $91.36 516 $47,141.76 $47,200.93 +$4,293.12
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $104.13 453 $47,170.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $98.64 453 $44,681.66 $44,711.70 $-2,489.23
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET $111.60 400 $44,640.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $105.86 400 $42,346.00 $42,417.70 $-2,294.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.53 434 $42,328.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $92.52 434 $40,153.68 $40,243.36 $-2,174.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $87.31 460 $40,162.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $96.98 460 $44,612.41 $44,693.17 +$4,449.81
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $109.12 409 $44,630.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $103.55 409 $42,351.95 $42,415.04 $-2,278.13
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,415.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,415.04
Total Return: +324.15%
Back to Yolanda YOLO