Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-19 21:03:30

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
14
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 19, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,546
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (22 market holidays)

Market Closed (22 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 2 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,910.10
Current Value
$9,539.59
Total P&L
$-370.52
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+10.11%
Worst Trade
-6.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$174,236.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-370.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-370.52
Gross Return
-3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,910.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET $218.50 45 $9,832.50
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 11:00am ET $207.36 45 $9,331.20 $9,408.80 $-501.30
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 9:35am ET $239.85 39 $9,354.15
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $227.55 39 $8,874.26 $8,928.91 $-479.90
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $227.07 39 $8,855.73
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $249.93 39 $9,747.08 $9,820.25 +$891.35
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $258.76 37 $9,573.94
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 11:10am ET $245.38 37 $9,079.06 $9,325.38 $-494.88
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $271.79 34 $9,240.86
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:15am ET $299.09 34 $10,169.06 $10,253.58 +$928.20
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $298.24 34 $10,140.16
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $283.32 34 $9,632.88 $9,746.30 $-507.28
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.81 42 $9,736.02
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $255.24 42 $10,720.29 $10,730.57 +$984.27
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 46 $10,617.72
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $216.63 46 $9,964.98 $10,077.83 $-652.74
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $311.02 32 $9,952.64
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $294.20 32 $9,414.40 $9,539.59 $-538.24
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,539.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-460.41
Total Return: -4.60%
Back to Yolanda YOLO