Compendium › Yolanda YOLO › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Yolanda YOLO's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

-19.80%
2 Years Return
$9,442.01
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,772.81
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:40:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 16%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.4/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
27.3/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
14.5/10
Raw Quality 159.1/100
× Confidence 0.16 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (16%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,772.81
Current Value
$9,442.01
Total P&L
$-2,330.80
Max Drawdown
-22.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+6.72%
Worst Trade
-13.07%
Avg Trade Return
-3.63%
Avg Hold Time
12.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,509.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,330.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,330.80
Gross Return
-19.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,772.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET $791.55 14 $11,081.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 11:00am ET $751.92 14 $10,526.88 $11,218.02 $-554.79
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 9:35am ET $761.00 14 $10,653.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 9:35am ET $812.17 14 $11,370.38 $11,934.47 +$716.45
(+6.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:40am ET $754.11 15 $11,311.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $698.36 15 $10,475.40 $11,098.20 $-836.27
(-7.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $833.68 13 $10,837.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 11:40am ET $790.00 13 $10,270.00 $10,530.42 $-567.77
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $760.63 13 $9,888.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $661.20 13 $8,595.60 $9,237.83 $-1,292.59
(-13.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $1,016.31 9 $9,146.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1,039.00 9 $9,351.00 $9,442.01 +$204.17
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,442.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-557.99
Total Return: -5.58%
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