Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:14:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 11%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
38.5/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 110.3/100
× Confidence 0.11 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (11%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,383
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,881.18
Current Value
$8,910.05
Total P&L
$-1,971.12
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
-5.74%
Avg Trade Return
-2.68%
Avg Hold Time
11.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,588.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,971.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,971.12
Gross Return
-18.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,881.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 10:05am ET $88.16 123 $10,843.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $83.20 123 $10,233.60 $10,270.91 $-610.26
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 9:55am ET $121.05 84 $10,168.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 2:45pm ET $114.95 84 $9,655.42 $9,758.14 $-512.78
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $114.10 85 $9,698.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 11:25am ET $108.04 85 $9,183.74 $9,243.72 $-514.42
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET $103.79 89 $9,237.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $98.12 89 $8,732.68 $8,739.09 $-504.63
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $83.18 105 $8,733.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.42 105 $8,548.58 $8,553.76 $-185.32
(-2.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
19.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 89 $8,548.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $90.54 89 $8,058.06 $8,063.19 $-490.57
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $65.44 123 $8,049.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $72.33 123 $8,896.59 $8,910.05 +$846.86
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,910.05
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,089.95
Total Return: -10.90%
Back to Yolanda YOLO