Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:05:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,443
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,970.90
Current Value
$6,155.30
Total P&L
$-2,815.63
Max Drawdown
-40.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
9 / 21
Best Trade
+21.53%
Worst Trade
-16.87%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$626,972.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,815.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,815.63
Gross Return
-31.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $8,970.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2024 10:50am ET $45.36 197 $8,934.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 11:20am ET $43.01 197 $8,472.97 $8,508.94 $-461.97
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $38.12 223 $8,500.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 1:10pm ET $42.08 223 $9,382.73 $9,390.91 +$881.97
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2024 10:25am ET $56.22 167 $9,388.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 10:25am ET $58.15 167 $9,711.05 $9,713.22 +$322.31
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $62.33 155 $9,661.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 11:55am ET $68.57 155 $10,628.35 $10,680.42 +$967.20
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $60.44 176 $10,637.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:25am ET $57.38 176 $10,098.00 $10,140.98 $-539.44
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:25am ET $53.35 190 $10,136.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 3:00pm ET $58.69 190 $11,151.10 $11,155.58 +$1,014.60
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 10:05am ET $58.50 190 $11,115.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $55.39 190 $10,524.10 $10,564.68 $-590.90
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $50.28 210 $10,558.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $56.22 210 $11,806.20 $11,812.08 +$1,247.40
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $119.23 99 $11,803.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $144.90 99 $14,345.10 $14,353.41 +$2,541.33
(+21.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $130.82 109 $14,259.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:35am ET $124.23 109 $13,540.53 $13,634.55 $-718.86
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $112.84 120 $13,540.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $124.28 120 $14,913.60 $15,007.35 +$1,372.80
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:05am ET $133.91 112 $14,997.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $125.86 112 $14,096.32 $14,105.75 $-901.60
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET $126.47 111 $14,037.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:40am ET $118.40 111 $13,141.85 $13,209.98 $-895.77
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:15am ET $107.66 122 $13,134.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $102.19 122 $12,467.18 $12,542.64 $-667.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $97.50 128 $12,480.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:30pm ET $92.28 128 $11,811.84 $11,874.48 $-668.16
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $90.89 130 $11,815.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:55am ET $86.16 130 $11,200.80 $11,259.58 $-614.90
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.54 145 $11,243.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $73.49 145 $10,656.05 $10,672.33 $-587.25
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $83.88 127 $10,652.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $79.45 127 $10,089.52 $10,109.09 $-563.25
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $70.92 142 $10,070.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET $66.76 142 $9,479.92 $9,518.37 $-590.72
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $64.86 146 $9,469.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $61.33 146 $8,953.45 $9,002.26 $-516.11
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET $60.96 147 $8,961.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $67.24 147 $9,884.28 $9,925.42 +$923.16
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $63.60 156 $9,921.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $60.27 156 $9,402.12 $9,405.94 $-519.48
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 165 $9,372.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $53.84 165 $8,883.60 $8,917.54 $-488.40
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 209 $8,886.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:55am ET $46.81 209 $9,783.29 $9,814.15 +$896.61
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
25 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $45.71 214 $9,780.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $43.40 214 $9,287.60 $9,320.88 $-493.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:35am ET $44.76 208 $9,309.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $42.44 208 $8,827.52 $8,839.36 $-481.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $48.44 182 $8,816.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $45.28 182 $8,240.96 $8,264.24 $-575.12
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.26 149 $8,233.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.36 149 $7,801.64 $7,832.88 $-431.36
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:15am ET $50.46 155 $7,821.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $47.64 155 $7,384.54 $7,396.13 $-436.76
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $48.06 153 $7,353.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.95 153 $6,112.35 $6,155.30 $-1,240.83
(-16.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,155.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,844.70
Total Return: -38.45%
Back to Yolanda YOLO