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I understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and that trading involves risk of loss. Simulated results may not reflect real trading outcomes. Quality Scores and Momentum indicators are based on backtested simulations, not predictions.

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Danny Dip

The Optimist

🛒 Swing Trader 📅 226 years old (Born 1800)

"A 3% pullback in a bull market is just the universe giving you a second chance to buy what you missed."

Spry man of perhaps 70, but his eyes contain centuries. Wears a peculiar mix of Regency-era waistcoat over a modern hoodie, as if he can't decide which century he belongs to.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

May 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 (365d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

⚠️ Crypto has 0.25% trading fees per side — results reflect fee impact

📊 Last Year Performance: Showing Danny Dip's performance over the last year across 12 crypto symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$2,258

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $4,666 ($-2,408)

-51.61%

Last Year ROI

38.4%

Win Rate

1,595

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Year)

Combined P&L across all 12 symbols

💰 Trading Activity (Last Year)

Stock Volume

0 trades

Stock Fees

✓ Commission FREE

Crypto Volume

$3,997,516

1,595 trades

Crypto Fees

$9,994

0.25% of volume

⚙️ Trading Strategy

Buy 3% dips, target 5% profit

Waits for quality assets to pull back 3% from recent highs, then enters with a 5% profit target. Uses trailing stops to protect gains during extended runs.

🎯 Best Suited For

Bull markets and quality stocks

"Dips are just discounts with a deadline."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

In uptrending markets (which is most of market history), pullbacks are temporary. Institutions use them to accumulate. Danny's 3% threshold filters out normal volatility.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/run-danny-simulation.php

📊 Recent High (Lookback)

                        Recent High = MAX(Closet-n ... Closet)                    

                        Finds the highest closing price over the lookback period to measure the dip from.                    

                            Lookback Period = 20 bars                        

                            Recent High = max(array_slice(closes, -20))                        

                            Uses closing prices only (not highs)

                    📁 getRecentHigh() 
                    @ lines 166-171                

📊 Dip Percentage Calculation

                        Dip % = ((Current Price - Recent High) ÷ Recent High) × 100                    

                        Measures how far the current price has fallen from the recent high. Negative values indicate a dip.                    

                            Current Price = latest closing price                        

                            Recent High = MAX of last 20 closes                        

                            Example: Price=$97, High=$100 → Dip = -3%

📊 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

                        Signal = Dip % ≤ -3%                    

                        When price drops 3% or more from the 20-bar high, Danny sees a buying opportunity.                    

                            DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT = 3.0%                        

                            Entry triggers when: dipPct <= -DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT                        

                            Position size: 100% capital (fractional for crypto, whole shares for stocks)

📈 Entry Signal (Buy the Dip)

→

📉 Exit Conditions

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.97 (-3% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 14 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        DIP_LOOKBACK:
                        20
                    

                        DIP_THRESHOLD_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        3%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        14
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: Baron Rothschild during the Napoleonic Wars

The legend says Baron Rothschild made a fortune during the panic following the Battle of Waterloo in 1815. His alleged advice: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Year)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Year: May 6, 2025 → May 6, 2026 (365 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1Y Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	DOTUSD ₿	—	—	+5.32%	$10,095	$10,632	14	43%	$739	+$537	-99.1%	14.0h	1	Feb 6, 2026
2	BTCUSD ₿	5	—	-11.80%	$7,914	$6,980	27	44%	$4,338	-$934	-38.9%	1.5d	✓	-
3	SHIBUSD ₿	5	—	-28.08%	$4,150	$2,985	118	41%	$36,596	-$1,165	-94.1%	12.4h	✓	-
4	LTCUSD ₿	5	—	-40.66%	$5,681	$3,371	111	39%	$18,196	-$2,310	-84.0%	16.6h	✓	-
5	AVAXUSD ₿	2	30🔥	-55.76%	$562	$249	142	38%	$6,585	-$313	-97.8%	14.0h	✓	-
6	ETHUSD ₿	4	—	-57.17%	$6,701	$2,870	102	35%	$9,037	-$3,831	-77.9%	1.0d	✓	-
7	XRPUSD ₿	4	—	-60.23%	$7,091	$2,820	100	35%	$18,651	-$4,271	-82.9%	14.1h	✓	-
8	SOLUSD ₿	3	—	-61.24%	$3,217	$1,247	132	36%	$12,232	-$1,970	-92.3%	14.0h	✓	-
9	LINKUSD ₿	2	53🔥	-65.38%	$1,341	$464	151	38%	$7,297	-$877	-96.9%	14.5h	✓	-
10	DOGEUSD ₿	4	31🔥	-71.83%	$2,746	$774	175	38%	$19,209	-$1,973	-94.5%	12.8h	✓	-
11	PEPEUSD ₿	3	64🔥	-83.88%	$5,028	$810	284	38%	$455,922	-$4,217	-99.8%	7.8h	✓	-
12	UNIUSD ₿	4	48🔥	-88.62%	$1,469	$167	239	36%	$13,127	-$1,301	-98.8%	12.2h	✓	-

👤 Personality

Eternally bullish, impossibly optimistic. Has seen Napoleon's wars, the Long Depression, the Great Depression, 1987, 2000, 2008, and 2020—and made money in each recovery.