Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 2 trades in period

+8.29%
Last Month Return
$18,828.54
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$17,387.51
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:45:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
16.2/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 43.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,387.51
Current Value
$18,828.54
Period P&L
$1,441.03
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
57.65

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
+5.06%
Avg Trade Return
+5.15%
Avg Hold Time
18d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,672.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,441.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,441.03
Gross Return
+8.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,387.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:20am ET $305.20 55 $16,786.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:00am ET $320.64 55 $17,635.21 $17,903.42 +$849.21
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
25d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:00am ET $315.41 56 $17,662.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $331.93 56 $18,588.08 $18,828.54 +$925.12
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,828.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,828.54
Total Return: +88.29%
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