Marcus Reversal

The Contrarian

📉 Swing Trader 📅 48 years old (Born 1978)

"When the RSI screams oversold and the masses run for the exits, I walk in through the front door with my checkbook open."

Distinguished gentleman with silver-streaked hair and reading glasses perpetually perched on his nose. Wears tweed jackets with elbow patches. Always carries a worn copy of Wilder's original book, annotated in three colors of ink.

ℹ️ Character descriptions are creative personas representing trading strategy styles. They are not financial advice, promises, or guarantees of performance.

📊 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

Aug 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (31d)

📊 Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

🎯 Asset: 📈 Stocks 102 ₿ Crypto 12 🌐 All 114

📊 Last Month Performance: Showing Marcus Reversal's performance over the last month across 102 stock symbols. 🟢 LIVE

$14,456

Avg Value (per symbol)

Started at: $14,547 ($-91)

-0.62%

Last Month ROI

33.6%

Win Rate

442

Total Trades

Quick Performance Comparison

Click any period to view detailed stats

Equity Curve (Last Month)

Combined P&L across all 102 symbols

⚙️ Trading Strategy

RSI mean reversion - buys when RSI < 30, sells when RSI > 70

Uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify oversold conditions. When RSI drops below 30, indicating extreme fear, Marcus enters long positions. He exits when RSI rises above 70, indicating greed.

🎯 Best Suited For

Volatile stocks with strong fundamentals

"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

📜 Why This Strategy Works

Markets are driven by human emotion. Fear creates oversold conditions—prices drop faster and further than fundamentals justify. Marcus waits for this fear to peak (RSI < 30), then buys what everyone else is panic-selling.

Mathematical Formula

CODE VERIFIED — These formulas are extracted directly from the simulation engine and verified against the source code.
Source: scripts/simulate-marcus.php

📊 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

                        RSI = 100 - (100 ÷ (1 + RS))                    

                            RS = Avg Gain ÷ Avg Loss (over 14 periods)                        

                            Avg Gain = SMA of gains, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14                        

                            Avg Loss = SMA of losses, then smoothed: ((prev × 13) + current) ÷ 14

                    📁 calculateRSI() 
                    @ lines 404-448                

📊 Hammer Candle Pattern

1 Lower wick ≥ 2× body size

2 Upper wick ≤ body size

3 Lower wick ≥ 60% of total range

📊 Entry Signal

📈 Entry Signal

                        RSI < 30 AND Hammer Candle = TRUE                    

→ BUY at next candle open

📉 Exit Rules

                        • TARGET: Price ≥ entry × 1.05 (+5% gain)                    

                        • STOP_LOSS: Price ≤ entry × 0.90 (-10% loss)                    

                        • MAX_HOLD: Hold time ≥ 30 days                    

⚙️ Simulation Parameters

                        RSI_PERIOD:
                        14
                    

                        RSI_OVERSOLD:
                        30
                    

                        TARGET_GAIN_PCT:
                        5%
                    

                        STOP_LOSS_PCT:
                        -10%
                    

                        MAX_HOLD_DAYS:
                        30
                    

📖 Historical Origin

Origin: J. Welles Wilder Jr.'s "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems"

J. Welles Wilder Jr. was not a trader—he was a mechanical engineer who looked at markets and saw machines that could be measured. In 1978, he published his masterwork, introducing the RSI alongside a dozen other indicators that would become industry standards.

🏆 Top 10 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📉 Worst 5 Performing Symbols (Last Month)

📊 All Symbol Results

Click on any row to see detailed trade history with equity curve

📅 Last Month: Aug 24, 2026 → Sep 24, 2026 (31 days)

📖 Understanding Score & Momentum columns

📊 Score — Lifetime Quality Score
Measures how well this strategy+symbol combination has performed across the entire simulation history. Based on return, win rate, drawdown control, profit factor, and trade count. Higher is better.

75+ Elite 60+ Good 40+ Fair <40 Weak

⚡ Mom — 30-Day Momentum Score
Measures performance over the last 30 days only. Same quality model but calibrated for short-term activity. Captures recent regime shifts that the lifetime score may miss.

75+ Hot 60+ Active 40+ Moderate <40 Quiet

Spread Indicators — Comparing Mom vs Score reveals regime sensitivity:
🔥 Heating Up — Mom is 20+ points above Score. This symbol is performing significantly better recently than its lifetime average. Could indicate a favorable regime shift.
🧊 Cooling Off — Mom is 20+ points below Score. This symbol is underperforming recently despite a strong lifetime track record. Could indicate an unfavorable regime shift.
No icon = Steady — Scores within ±20 points. Consistent performance.

⚠️ Scores are calculated from simulated backtest data and are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or predict future performance. Full methodology →

Rank	Symbol	Score	Mom	Return	1M Start	Final Value	Trades	Win Rate	Fees	Net	Max DD	Avg Hold	Refunds	Last Refund
1	META	37	65🔥	+39.48%	$14,159	$19,748	6	100%	-	+$5,590	-26.1%	6.9d	✓	-
2	GME	25	59🔥	+30.22%	$12,056	$15,699	5	100%	-	+$3,643	-32.0%	2.9d	✓	-
3	MRNA	13	44🔥	+21.79%	$9,181	$11,182	12	50%	-	+$2,001	-73.8%	2.3d	✓	-
4	USO	33	45	+18.90%	$13,205	$15,701	7	71%	-	+$2,496	-18.0%	8.8d	✓	-
5	MU	69	63	+18.59%	$46,974	$55,706	6	67%	-	+$8,732	-27.8%	3.5d	✓	-
6	RBLX	22	64🔥	+17.66%	$10,485	$12,337	7	57%	-	+$1,852	-46.8%	3.9d	✓	-
7	INTC	14	34	+16.96%	$9,996	$11,691	9	56%	-	+$1,695	-58.2%	3.6d	✓	-
8	AMD	45	55	+16.71%	$25,167	$29,372	6	67%	-	+$4,205	-43.0%	3.3d	✓	-
9	CRWD	8	39🔥	+12.10%	$6,533	$7,324	8	50%	-	+$791	-24.8%	4.4d	✓	-
10	TSLA	28	—	+10.69%	$14,009	$15,507	2	100%	-	+$1,498	-34.1%	2.9d	✓	-
11	PLTR	69	32🧊	+10.42%	$52,615	$58,097	7	57%	-	+$5,482	-28.0%	2.8d	✓	-
12	AAPL	40	—	+10.40%	$17,055	$18,829	2	100%	-	+$1,774	-21.5%	10.1d	✓	-
13	COIN	5	36🔥	+10.08%	$6,442	$7,091	9	44%	-	+$649	-53.5%	1.8d	✓	-
14	ARM	37	35	+9.28%	$18,322	$20,022	9	44%	-	+$1,700	-31.3%	2.7d	✓	-
15	GILD	36	34	+8.18%	$15,735	$17,022	3	67%	-	+$1,287	-20.9%	10.3d	✓	-
16	NET	67	34🧊	+8.09%	$38,545	$41,663	6	50%	-	+$3,118	-33.4%	4.1d	✓	-
17	RIOT	5	37🔥	+7.53%	$5,552	$5,970	10	50%	-	+$418	-51.3%	1.3d	✓	-
18	ARKK	27	—	+6.35%	$13,707	$14,577	1	100%	-	+$870	-26.4%	5.4d	✓	-
19	XLK	35	—	+5.55%	$15,887	$16,768	2	50%	-	+$882	-25.5%	11.5d	✓	-
20	ISRG	4	19	+5.05%	$9,022	$9,477	4	50%	-	+$456	-35.0%	8.4d	✓	-
21	WMT	37	—	+5.01%	$16,131	$16,939	1	100%	-	+$808	-17.6%	14.4d	✓	-
22	GOOGL	59	29🧊	+3.57%	$26,092	$27,024	4	50%	-	+$932	-25.2%	7.9d	✓	-
23	SMCI	4	20	+3.28%	$1,117	$1,154	8	38%	-	+$37	-88.9%	1.9d	✓	-
24	PM	27	17	+2.52%	$13,596	$13,938	3	67%	-	+$343	-21.9%	12.3d	✓	-
25	XOM	26	—	+2.35%	$12,623	$12,919	3	33%	-	+$297	-18.5%	11.9d	✓	-
26	MSFT	38	—	+2.14%	$18,082	$18,469	2	50%	-	+$387	-21.2%	13.3d	✓	-
27	ABBV	32	—	+2.05%	$14,267	$14,559	2	50%	-	+$292	-17.7%	11.9d	✓	-
28	XLE	18	—	+1.90%	$11,219	$11,432	2	50%	-	+$213	-24.7%	12.5d	✓	-
29	TMO	15	—	+1.76%	$10,879	$11,071	2	50%	-	+$191	-28.6%	11.0d	✓	-
30	BIIB	5	—	+1.33%	$7,001	$7,094	2	50%	-	+$93	-46.7%	7.5d	✓	-
31	ORCL	5	29🔥	+1.07%	$9,039	$9,136	8	50%	-	+$97	-51.2%	5.2d	✓	-
32	OXY	35	5🧊	+0.66%	$17,988	$18,106	5	40%	-	+$119	-28.6%	8.2d	✓	-
33	NVDA	33	18	+0.63%	$18,520	$18,637	8	38%	-	+$117	-43.7%	3.8d	✓	-
34	BRK-B	27	—	+0.62%	$13,244	$13,326	1	100%	-	+$82	-15.7%	16.3d	✓	-
35	DKNG	4	21	+0.18%	$6,626	$6,638	10	40%	-	+$12	-50.2%	4.1d	✓	-
36	PANW	30	6🧊	-0.06%	$15,432	$15,422	8	38%	-	-$9	-29.0%	7.1d	✓	-
37	HOOD	5	17	-0.49%	$8,238	$8,197	10	30%	-	-$40	-45.6%	2.2d	✓	-
38	PFE	5	—	-0.49%	$9,316	$9,270	1	0%	-	-$46	-23.5%	10.8d	✓	-
39	QQQ	31	—	-0.50%	$15,428	$15,351	1	0%	-	-$77	-29.6%	15.7d	✓	-
40	VOO	35	—	-0.50%	$14,731	$14,657	1	0%	-	-$74	-15.4%	18.9d	✓	-
41	SPY	38	—	-0.51%	$15,112	$15,035	1	0%	-	-$77	-12.7%	18.7d	✓	-
42	MDT	21	—	-0.77%	$11,901	$11,810	2	50%	-	-$92	-12.1%	13.7d	✓	-
43	JNJ	41	0🧊	-0.90%	$16,915	$16,763	3	33%	-	-$152	-13.8%	16.3d	✓	-
44	CVX	43	0🧊	-1.12%	$17,078	$16,887	3	33%	-	-$191	-13.5%	13.2d	✓	-
45	WFC	26	0🧊	-1.23%	$13,647	$13,479	3	33%	-	-$168	-25.5%	8.9d	✓	-
46	SPXU	4	0	-1.27%	$9,814	$9,689	3	33%	-	-$125	-30.0%	5.6d	✓	-
47	VZ	25	0🧊	-1.35%	$12,850	$12,677	3	33%	-	-$173	-14.2%	14.1d	✓	-
48	TQQQ	5	14	-1.55%	$6,695	$6,592	7	43%	-	-$104	-40.9%	3.1d	✓	-
49	IBM	29	—	-1.66%	$13,684	$13,457	3	33%	-	-$227	-17.7%	10.0d	✓	-
50	C	33	0🧊	-1.85%	$17,334	$17,013	3	33%	-	-$321	-29.6%	8.3d	✓	-
51	SOXL	69	12🧊	-1.91%	$79,622	$78,101	12	58%	-	-$1,521	-36.3%	1.6d	✓	-
52	SOFI	24	7	-2.11%	$13,710	$13,421	6	33%	-	-$289	-35.6%	2.7d	✓	-
53	NFLX	38	0🧊	-2.31%	$20,956	$20,472	3	33%	-	-$484	-32.4%	9.5d	✓	-
54	PG	4	—	-2.37%	$8,643	$8,438	2	50%	-	-$205	-24.4%	16.2d	✓	-
55	VTI	40	—	-2.53%	$15,890	$15,488	1	0%	-	-$402	-16.1%	20.8d	✓	-
56	ACN	4	4	-2.57%	$4,627	$4,508	6	33%	-	-$119	-45.0%	9.3d	✓	-
57	XLF	40	—	-2.82%	$15,148	$14,721	2	50%	-	-$427	-11.5%	17.6d	✓	-
58	V	27	—	-2.97%	$14,065	$13,648	2	50%	-	-$418	-14.4%	14.2d	✓	-
59	DIA	25	—	-2.98%	$12,529	$12,156	1	0%	-	-$373	-20.7%	20.9d	✓	-
60	AMZN	31	—	-3.05%	$15,669	$15,191	1	0%	-	-$478	-18.5%	8.3d	✓	-
61	KO	31	—	-3.06%	$14,365	$13,926	1	0%	-	-$440	-13.1%	18.7d	✓	-
62	MRK	4	—	-3.07%	$8,653	$8,387	1	0%	-	-$266	-45.0%	9.8d	✓	-
63	TLT	4	—	-3.56%	$6,707	$6,468	2	0%	-	-$239	-27.7%	20.2d	✓	-
64	GLD	62	—	-3.68%	$24,519	$23,617	1	0%	-	-$902	-6.1%	15.7d	✓	-
65	MA	31	—	-4.05%	$14,495	$13,908	2	50%	-	-$587	-11.3%	13.9d	✓	-
66	AMGN	16	0	-4.52%	$11,815	$11,281	3	33%	-	-$534	-28.3%	11.3d	✓	-
67	CRM	5	3	-4.56%	$8,168	$7,795	6	33%	-	-$372	-48.1%	7.3d	✓	-
68	SLV	64	0🧊	-4.68%	$30,492	$29,065	4	25%	-	-$1,427	-21.6%	7.3d	✓	-
69	COST	26	—	-4.72%	$14,538	$13,852	2	0%	-	-$686	-19.7%	13.0d	✓	-
70	DIS	13	1	-4.85%	$11,303	$10,755	5	40%	-	-$548	-24.9%	11.6d	✓	-
71	COP	24	1🧊	-5.22%	$13,398	$12,699	4	25%	-	-$699	-20.6%	9.4d	✓	-
72	SQQQ	3	1	-5.28%	$4,890	$4,632	5	40%	-	-$258	-66.3%	2.8d	✓	-
73	UNH	5	1	-5.36%	$6,444	$6,099	4	25%	-	-$345	-54.0%	7.3d	✓	-
74	PEP	4	0	-5.80%	$8,622	$8,122	3	33%	-	-$500	-23.1%	16.8d	✓	-
75	CSCO	68	—	-6.03%	$29,569	$27,786	2	0%	-	-$1,783	-9.1%	15.2d	✓	-
76	REGN	5	1	-6.05%	$7,174	$6,740	4	25%	-	-$434	-50.1%	7.6d	✓	-
77	VRTX	22	—	-6.14%	$13,744	$12,900	2	0%	-	-$844	-25.6%	10.7d	✓	-
78	IWM	27	—	-6.34%	$14,445	$13,530	3	33%	-	-$916	-23.6%	13.7d	✓	-
79	MS	20	—	-6.36%	$12,823	$12,007	2	0%	-	-$816	-29.2%	9.0d	✓	-
80	JPM	44	0🧊	-6.59%	$21,269	$19,867	3	0%	-	-$1,402	-20.8%	10.9d	✓	-
81	VXX	18	2	-7.14%	$13,125	$12,188	6	17%	-	-$937	-32.2%	2.9d	✓	-
82	BLK	31	0🧊	-7.22%	$15,392	$14,280	3	0%	-	-$1,111	-17.2%	12.3d	✓	-
83	AMC	4	5	-7.42%	$5,306	$4,912	9	44%	-	-$394	-59.9%	2.4d	✓	-
84	PYPL	15	2	-7.89%	$11,635	$10,717	5	40%	-	-$918	-35.9%	7.8d	✓	-
85	LCID	4	9	-8.27%	$8,857	$8,125	11	27%	-	-$732	-38.4%	1.9d	✓	-
86	AVGO	19	1	-8.52%	$12,867	$11,771	5	20%	-	-$1,096	-27.0%	3.7d	✓	-
87	GS	44	0🧊	-8.74%	$20,147	$18,386	3	0%	-	-$1,761	-15.7%	9.6d	✓	-
88	MCD	7	0	-9.09%	$10,693	$9,721	3	0%	-	-$972	-12.9%	16.0d	✓	-
89	UVXY	4	2	-9.09%	$9,428	$8,571	6	17%	-	-$857	-50.0%	1.6d	✓	-
90	NIO	4	0	-9.46%	$5,166	$4,677	4	0%	-	-$489	-51.1%	2.6d	✓	-
91	SCHW	52	0🧊	-9.48%	$19,762	$17,889	3	0%	-	-$1,873	-10.8%	11.7d	✓	-
92	LLY	20	0	-9.55%	$13,618	$12,318	3	0%	-	-$1,301	-36.7%	6.7d	✓	-
93	BMY	14	—	-9.59%	$11,535	$10,429	3	0%	-	-$1,106	-28.4%	7.9d	✓	-
94	HD	5	0	-9.76%	$8,847	$7,983	3	0%	-	-$863	-19.9%	12.1d	✓	-
95	AXP	23	1🧊	-10.13%	$14,281	$12,834	4	0%	-	-$1,447	-27.6%	10.6d	✓	-
96	ADBE	4	2	-11.41%	$7,575	$6,711	5	20%	-	-$864	-42.0%	8.2d	✓	-
97	BAC	28	1🧊	-12.09%	$16,213	$14,253	4	0%	-	-$1,960	-21.4%	9.5d	✓	-
98	CMCSA	5	1	-12.33%	$7,644	$6,702	4	0%	-	-$943	-36.1%	11.9d	✓	-
99	SLB	29	5🧊	-14.04%	$16,898	$14,525	7	14%	-	-$2,372	-22.2%	8.1d	✓	-
100	SNOW	24	2🧊	-15.67%	$18,012	$15,189	5	0%	-	-$2,822	-43.4%	4.9d	✓	-
101	RIVN	4	6	-18.11%	$5,255	$4,303	8	13%	-	-$952	-51.0%	2.2d	✓	-
102	MARA	4	5	-22.02%	$3,991	$3,112	9	11%	-	-$879	-58.2%	1.3d	✓	-

👤 Personality

Calm, patient, slightly smug. Speaks in measured tones. Has seen every crash since his birth in 1978 and survived them all. Drinks single malt scotch. Never raises his voice, even when markets are in freefall.

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