Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 25.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,208
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,234.24
Current Value
$12,919.24
Total P&L
$1,685.00
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
63
Winners / Losers
28 / 35
Best Trade
+8.20%
Worst Trade
-5.55%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,449,869.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,685.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,685.00
Gross Return
+15.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,234.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2024 10:55am ET $113.89 95 $10,819.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2024 9:50am ET $119.62 95 $11,363.90 $11,443.24 +$544.13
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 11:00am ET $120.98 94 $11,372.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2024 9:40am ET $117.25 94 $11,021.51 $11,092.63 $-350.61
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2024 9:40am ET $118.09 93 $10,981.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2024 9:30am ET $118.02 93 $10,975.86 $11,086.59 $-6.04
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 3:15pm ET $117.97 93 $10,971.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 1:20pm ET $114.41 93 $10,640.12 $10,755.50 $-331.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 2:45pm ET $115.31 93 $10,723.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 10:00am ET $111.83 93 $10,400.19 $10,432.32 $-323.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 10:00am ET $112.05 93 $10,420.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 1:15pm ET $108.65 93 $10,104.13 $10,115.80 $-316.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 1:20pm ET $108.14 93 $10,057.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 17, 2025 1:20pm ET $112.30 93 $10,443.90 $10,502.68 +$386.88
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 1:55pm ET $111.67 94 $10,496.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 12:35pm ET $108.28 94 $10,178.32 $10,184.02 $-318.66
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 12:50pm ET $107.99 94 $10,151.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 12:50pm ET $109.70 94 $10,311.33 $10,344.29 +$160.27
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $108.89 94 $10,235.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 9:45am ET $105.25 94 $9,893.50 $10,002.13 $-342.16
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 9:45am ET $104.61 95 $9,937.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:05am ET $109.89 95 $10,439.55 $10,504.21 +$502.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 12:10pm ET $111.08 94 $10,441.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 3:05pm ET $107.70 94 $10,123.80 $10,186.96 $-317.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 11:10am ET $113.35 89 $10,088.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 10:40am ET $119.08 89 $10,597.68 $10,696.48 +$509.53
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2025 12:20pm ET $118.42 90 $10,657.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $114.46 90 $10,301.40 $10,340.08 $-356.40
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $109.45 94 $10,287.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $105.98 94 $9,962.12 $10,014.37 $-325.71
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 3:25pm ET $102.14 98 $10,009.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $98.98 98 $9,700.04 $9,704.70 $-309.67
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $102.86 94 $9,668.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $99.38 94 $9,341.25 $9,377.11 $-327.59
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:40am ET $103.96 90 $9,356.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $110.35 90 $9,931.05 $9,951.76 +$574.65
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
19 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 3:50pm ET $109.66 90 $9,869.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $106.04 90 $9,543.60 $9,625.96 $-325.80
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
20 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:30am ET $107.51 89 $9,567.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 9:45am ET $104.08 89 $9,263.12 $9,321.14 $-304.83
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
21 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:45am ET $102.37 91 $9,315.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 11:25am ET $107.51 91 $9,783.41 $9,788.88 +$467.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $109.41 89 $9,737.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 9:50am ET $114.93 89 $10,228.77 $10,280.60 +$491.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:40am ET $114.46 89 $10,186.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $109.92 89 $9,782.44 $9,876.11 $-404.50
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 12:50pm ET $108.72 90 $9,784.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $114.21 90 $10,278.45 $10,369.76 +$493.65
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:35am ET $113.21 91 $10,302.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 9:35am ET $109.50 91 $9,964.50 $10,032.15 $-337.61
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 2:45pm ET $108.31 92 $9,964.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 2:45pm ET $109.17 92 $10,043.64 $10,111.73 +$79.58
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 2:45pm ET $109.11 92 $10,037.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 9:45am ET $114.71 92 $10,553.33 $10,627.40 +$515.67
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:45am ET $113.74 93 $10,577.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET $110.22 93 $10,250.46 $10,300.04 $-327.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $109.51 94 $10,293.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 1:25pm ET $115.12 94 $10,821.28 $10,827.38 +$527.34
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:50am ET $114.30 94 $10,744.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $110.75 94 $10,410.50 $10,493.68 $-333.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:00pm ET $112.60 93 $10,471.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $118.24 93 $10,996.32 $11,018.66 +$524.99
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
27d held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:25pm ET $119.98 91 $10,918.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $116.32 91 $10,585.12 $10,685.60 $-333.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET $118.02 90 $10,621.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $114.47 90 $10,302.31 $10,366.52 $-319.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $115.12 90 $10,360.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $118.95 90 $10,705.50 $10,711.67 +$345.15
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET $120.78 88 $10,628.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET $126.94 88 $11,170.72 $11,253.75 +$542.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.87 86 $11,168.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $136.47 86 $11,736.33 $11,821.26 +$567.51
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $139.48 84 $11,716.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET $146.46 84 $12,302.64 $12,407.58 +$586.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $148.84 83 $12,353.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.38 83 $12,564.54 $12,618.40 +$210.82
(+1.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
3d held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $147.26 85 $12,517.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $159.34 85 $13,543.90 $13,645.20 +$1,026.80
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET $151.84 89 $13,513.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET $159.63 89 $14,207.51 $14,338.95 +$693.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $158.63 90 $14,276.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:30am ET $166.69 90 $15,002.10 $15,064.35 +$725.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $163.68 92 $15,058.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $172.85 92 $15,902.20 $15,907.68 +$843.33
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $171.55 92 $15,782.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $166.39 92 $15,307.88 $15,432.96 $-474.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $160.23 96 $15,382.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.67 96 $14,656.32 $14,707.19 $-725.77
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET $157.46 93 $14,643.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $152.64 93 $14,195.52 $14,258.93 $-448.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $152.25 93 $14,159.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 93 $13,728.66 $13,828.34 $-430.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $147.26 93 $13,695.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $142.74 93 $13,274.90 $13,408.06 $-420.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $148.76 90 $13,388.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $144.29 90 $12,986.10 $13,006.02 $-402.04
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
49 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $149.74 86 $12,877.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $157.24 86 $13,523.07 $13,651.88 +$645.86
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
50 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:40am ET $160.62 84 $13,492.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $155.71 84 $13,079.64 $13,239.44 $-412.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
51 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $153.28 86 $13,182.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.19 86 $12,658.34 $12,715.70 $-523.74
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
52 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $147.70 86 $12,702.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $139.51 86 $11,997.43 $12,010.93 $-704.77
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $140.82 85 $11,969.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $136.55 85 $11,606.96 $11,648.19 $-362.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $140.03 83 $11,622.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:30am ET $135.64 83 $11,258.24 $11,283.94 $-364.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.96 82 $11,230.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $143.85 82 $11,796.11 $11,849.33 +$565.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.38 82 $11,838.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $153.47 82 $12,584.54 $12,595.12 +$745.79
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $157.54 79 $12,446.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $152.28 79 $12,030.16 $12,179.22 $-415.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
58 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $156.71 77 $12,066.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $151.66 77 $11,677.82 $11,790.37 $-388.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $153.01 77 $11,781.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET $160.80 77 $12,381.60 $12,390.20 +$599.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $159.63 77 $12,291.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $167.75 77 $12,916.75 $13,015.44 +$625.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $167.43 77 $12,892.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $162.34 77 $12,499.80 $12,623.15 $-392.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 79 $12,495.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 79 $13,197.74 $13,325.86 +$702.71
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET $164.46 81 $13,321.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:10am ET $159.44 81 $12,914.64 $12,919.24 $-406.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,919.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,919.24
Total Return: +29.19%
Back to Marcus Reversal