DIA Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 18:50:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+10.34%
2 Years Return
$12,155.71
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$11,016.33
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality
31.1/100
× Confidence 0.81
= 25.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,248
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,016.33
Current Value
$12,155.71
Total P&L
$1,139.39
Max Drawdown
-20.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
19 /
14
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-5.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
20.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$713,976.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,139.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,139.39
Gross Return
+10.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.34%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $11,016.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2024 11:20am ET | $412.40 | 26 | $10,722.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 11:20am ET | $420.12 | 26 | $10,923.12 | $10,971.87 |
+$200.72 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 1:15pm ET | $420.72 | 26 | $10,938.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2024 9:30am ET | $424.03 | 26 | $11,024.78 | $11,057.93 |
+$86.06 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $422.39 | 26 | $10,982.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2024 9:35am ET | $444.22 | 26 | $11,549.72 | $11,625.64 |
+$567.71 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2024 10:40am ET | $441.71 | 26 | $11,484.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2024 10:40am ET | $441.71 | 26 | $11,484.46 | $11,625.64 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 13, 2024 12:15pm ET | $439.25 | 26 | $11,420.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $424.60 | 26 | $11,039.60 | $11,244.74 |
$-380.90 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $422.99 | 26 | $10,997.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $436.77 | 26 | $11,356.02 | $11,603.02 |
+$358.28 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $444.57 | 26 | $11,558.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $435.88 | 26 | $11,332.88 | $11,377.08 |
$-225.94 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 11:30am ET | $437.18 | 26 | $11,366.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $424.01 | 26 | $11,024.26 | $11,034.66 |
$-342.42 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 1:35pm ET | $420.90 | 26 | $10,943.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 1:30pm ET | $408.00 | 26 | $10,608.00 | $10,699.26 |
$-335.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $419.21 | 25 | $10,480.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $406.51 | 25 | $10,162.75 | $10,381.76 |
$-317.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $393.01 | 26 | $10,218.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $370.62 | 26 | $9,636.12 | $9,799.75 |
$-582.01 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $389.15 | 25 | $9,728.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET | $377.05 | 25 | $9,426.25 | $9,497.25 |
$-302.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $397.19 | 23 | $9,135.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $384.96 | 23 | $8,854.08 | $9,216.07 |
$-281.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 1:15pm ET | $389.95 | 23 | $8,968.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $409.93 | 23 | $9,428.39 | $9,675.61 |
+$459.54 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 1:20pm ET | $412.79 | 23 | $9,494.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $422.11 | 23 | $9,708.53 | $9,889.97 |
+$214.36 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 12:10pm ET | $425.64 | 23 | $9,789.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $447.23 | 23 | $10,286.31 | $10,386.56 |
+$496.59 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 12:40pm ET | $443.34 | 23 | $10,196.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 12:40pm ET | $442.09 | 23 | $10,168.07 | $10,357.81 |
$-28.75 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $440.99 | 23 | $10,142.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $454.91 | 23 | $10,462.93 | $10,677.97 |
+$320.16 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $455.69 | 23 | $10,480.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $462.50 | 23 | $10,637.50 | $10,834.60 |
+$156.63 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $456.60 | 23 | $10,501.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $479.88 | 23 | $11,037.13 | $11,369.93 |
+$535.33 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 12:25pm ET | $478.71 | 23 | $11,010.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $462.47 | 23 | $10,636.81 | $10,996.41 |
$-373.52 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $461.65 | 23 | $10,617.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $484.87 | 23 | $11,152.01 | $11,530.47 |
+$534.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $486.17 | 23 | $11,181.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.35 | 23 | $11,277.94 | $11,626.49 |
+$96.03 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $494.13 | 23 | $11,364.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $501.33 | 23 | $11,530.59 | $11,792.09 |
+$165.60 (+1.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
27.3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $495.95 | 23 | $11,406.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $480.27 | 23 | $11,046.21 | $11,431.45 |
$-360.64 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $484.78 | 23 | $11,149.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $469.92 | 23 | $10,808.16 | $11,089.67 |
$-341.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $475.34 | 23 | $10,932.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $459.83 | 23 | $10,576.20 | $10,733.05 |
$-356.62 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $458.67 | 23 | $10,549.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $481.61 | 23 | $11,077.14 | $11,260.78 |
+$527.73 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $479.54 | 23 | $11,029.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $496.07 | 23 | $11,409.61 | $11,640.97 |
+$380.19 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $493.66 | 23 | $11,354.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $502.20 | 23 | $11,550.60 | $11,837.39 |
+$196.42 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $511.82 | 23 | $11,771.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $525.88 | 23 | $12,095.13 | $12,160.77 |
+$323.38 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $522.84 | 23 | $12,025.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $538.84 | 23 | $12,393.32 | $12,528.77 |
+$368.00 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $536.92 | 23 | $12,349.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $520.70 | 23 | $11,976.10 | $12,155.71 |
$-373.06 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
27d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,155.71
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,155.71
Total Return:
+21.56%