Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:43:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 26.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,805
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,220.78
Current Value
$13,478.98
Total P&L
$3,258.17
Max Drawdown
-25.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
65
Winners / Losers
29 / 36
Best Trade
+13.50%
Worst Trade
-5.69%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
9.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,650,974.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,258.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,258.17
Gross Return
+31.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,220.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2024 10:10am ET $54.60 187 $10,209.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 9:30am ET $57.53 187 $10,758.11 $10,769.63 +$548.85
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 1:20pm ET $57.47 187 $10,745.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2024 9:30am ET $61.01 187 $11,408.61 $11,432.28 +$662.65
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 11:45am ET $62.85 181 $11,375.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 9:50am ET $66.03 181 $11,951.43 $12,007.86 +$575.58
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 11:00am ET $64.64 185 $11,958.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $73.37 185 $13,572.53 $13,621.99 +$1,614.13
(+13.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:55am ET $70.70 192 $13,574.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 3:50pm ET $74.25 192 $14,256.00 $14,303.59 +$681.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $73.51 194 $14,260.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 3:20pm ET $77.21 194 $14,977.77 $15,020.42 +$716.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2024 3:30pm ET $77.44 193 $14,944.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 11:10am ET $75.07 193 $14,488.51 $14,563.97 $-456.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 11:10am ET $74.52 195 $14,530.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 9:35am ET $72.23 195 $14,084.85 $14,117.91 $-446.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 9:35am ET $71.60 197 $14,105.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $69.24 197 $13,640.28 $13,652.99 $-464.92
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 1:35pm ET $70.50 193 $13,606.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $74.49 193 $14,376.57 $14,423.06 +$770.07
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
25.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2025 10:00am ET $75.58 190 $14,360.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 11:10am ET $79.41 190 $15,087.90 $15,150.76 +$727.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 2:05pm ET $80.02 189 $15,123.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 2:25pm ET $77.61 189 $14,668.29 $14,695.27 $-455.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2025 3:10pm ET $77.58 189 $14,662.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 11:30am ET $75.14 189 $14,200.52 $14,233.16 $-462.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 11:55am ET $77.26 184 $14,214.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $73.93 184 $13,603.12 $13,621.36 $-611.80
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET $73.13 186 $13,602.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 9:55am ET $70.49 186 $13,111.14 $13,130.32 $-491.04
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:55am ET $68.20 192 $13,094.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $66.08 192 $12,687.36 $12,723.28 $-407.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 1:30pm ET $66.45 191 $12,691.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 9:40am ET $69.96 191 $13,362.07 $13,393.41 +$670.12
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 1:50pm ET $72.12 185 $13,341.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET $69.66 185 $12,887.10 $12,939.23 $-454.18
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2025 9:40am ET $70.60 183 $12,918.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $68.24 183 $12,487.92 $12,508.27 $-430.97
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $62.59 199 $12,455.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:40am ET $60.43 199 $12,024.58 $12,077.43 $-430.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:05am ET $64.22 188 $12,073.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET $61.90 188 $11,637.20 $11,641.27 $-436.16
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:40am ET $64.30 181 $11,638.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $62.35 181 $11,284.45 $11,287.42 $-353.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 2:50pm ET $62.55 180 $11,259.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 11:55am ET $65.79 180 $11,842.20 $11,870.62 +$583.20
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:55am ET $68.30 173 $11,815.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:50am ET $71.88 173 $12,435.24 $12,489.96 +$619.34
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
25 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 1:20pm ET $73.83 169 $12,477.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $73.76 169 $12,464.60 $12,477.28 $-12.68
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $75.60 165 $12,473.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 11:45am ET $73.24 165 $12,083.78 $12,087.88 $-389.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 1:40pm ET $73.28 164 $12,017.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $76.99 164 $12,626.36 $12,697.14 +$609.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 2:55pm ET $78.91 160 $12,625.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET $82.91 160 $13,265.60 $13,337.14 +$640.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 12:25pm ET $82.10 162 $13,299.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:40am ET $79.52 162 $12,882.24 $12,919.99 $-417.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 11:15am ET $78.38 164 $12,854.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 3:00pm ET $82.37 164 $13,507.86 $13,573.53 +$653.54
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 2:50pm ET $84.32 160 $13,490.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $81.62 160 $13,058.40 $13,141.53 $-432.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $80.50 163 $13,121.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $77.80 163 $12,681.40 $12,701.43 $-440.10
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 11:40am ET $77.18 164 $12,657.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $81.10 164 $13,300.40 $13,344.31 +$642.88
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held
34 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 2:30pm ET $82.84 161 $13,336.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $80.27 161 $12,923.52 $12,931.40 $-412.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:40am ET $80.62 160 $12,899.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 3:35pm ET $84.79 160 $13,566.40 $13,598.55 +$667.15
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.2d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:15am ET $86.06 158 $13,596.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET $83.36 158 $13,170.09 $13,171.95 $-426.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET $82.37 159 $13,096.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:05am ET $79.65 159 $12,664.35 $12,740.26 $-431.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 12:10pm ET $80.63 158 $12,739.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $78.20 158 $12,354.81 $12,355.53 $-384.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 2:55pm ET $85.48 144 $12,309.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $82.58 144 $11,891.52 $11,937.93 $-417.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:55am ET $85.10 140 $11,914.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET $84.30 140 $11,802.00 $11,825.93 $-112.00
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET $84.69 139 $11,771.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $81.86 139 $11,378.54 $11,432.56 $-393.37
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $82.60 138 $11,398.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:10pm ET $86.74 138 $11,970.12 $12,003.88 +$571.32
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $90.16 133 $11,990.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET $94.85 133 $12,615.05 $12,628.07 +$624.18
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:40am ET $94.72 133 $12,597.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $89.33 133 $11,880.89 $11,911.20 $-716.87
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $88.85 134 $11,905.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET $86.18 134 $11,547.45 $11,553.42 $-357.78
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.25 130 $11,472.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $92.77 130 $12,059.85 $12,140.77 +$587.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $92.57 131 $12,126.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $94.63 131 $12,396.53 $12,410.63 +$269.86
(+2.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:55am ET $87.71 141 $12,367.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $85.05 141 $11,992.05 $12,035.57 $-375.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $84.55 142 $12,006.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:30am ET $81.76 142 $11,609.91 $11,639.38 $-396.19
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $82.46 141 $11,626.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $78.17 141 $11,021.97 $11,034.49 $-604.89
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $78.48 140 $10,987.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.42 140 $10,558.80 $10,606.09 $-428.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $75.50 140 $10,570.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $79.47 140 $11,125.80 $11,161.89 +$555.80
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.77 143 $11,121.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET $81.71 143 $11,683.82 $11,724.60 +$562.71
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.41 144 $11,723.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $85.49 144 $12,310.11 $12,311.67 +$587.07
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $85.40 144 $12,297.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $81.39 144 $11,719.44 $11,733.51 $-578.16
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $80.66 145 $11,695.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $78.09 145 $11,323.05 $11,360.86 $-372.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
57 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $74.52 152 $11,327.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $78.40 152 $11,916.80 $11,950.62 +$589.76
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:20am ET $77.92 153 $11,921.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.82 153 $12,519.22 $12,548.08 +$597.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.55 153 $12,477.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 153 $13,167.95 $13,238.87 +$690.79
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $83.55 158 $13,200.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $88.41 158 $13,968.78 $14,006.75 +$767.88
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
19d held
61 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $86.08 162 $13,944.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $86.53 162 $14,017.86 $14,079.65 +$72.90
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $87.34 161 $14,061.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET $84.65 161 $13,629.45 $13,647.37 $-432.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $83.61 163 $13,628.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $87.82 163 $14,315.47 $14,334.41 +$687.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $89.46 160 $14,313.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $86.76 160 $13,881.60 $13,902.41 $-432.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $86.04 161 $13,852.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:55am ET $83.41 161 $13,429.01 $13,478.98 $-423.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,478.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,478.98
Total Return: +34.79%
Back to Marcus Reversal