Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

34
+8.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.7 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,656.17
Current Value
$17,022.05
Total P&L
$6,365.88
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
69
Winners / Losers
32 / 37
Best Trade
+10.00%
Worst Trade
-5.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.80%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,811,331.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,365.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,365.88
Gross Return
+59.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+59.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,656.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2024 9:30am ET $82.53 127 $10,481.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 11:00am ET $86.70 127 $11,010.40 $11,039.22 +$529.09
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
26.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 11:00am ET $84.99 129 $10,963.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 25, 2024 10:15am ET $89.27 129 $11,515.83 $11,591.34 +$552.12
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET $88.42 131 $11,583.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $97.27 131 $12,741.72 $12,750.03 +$1,158.70
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 10:25am ET $96.07 132 $12,680.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 10:10am ET $92.96 132 $12,270.72 $12,340.17 $-409.86
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 10:15am ET $91.54 134 $12,266.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 2:10pm ET $88.75 134 $11,892.50 $11,966.31 $-373.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 3:55pm ET $88.45 135 $11,940.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 29, 2024 11:45am ET $92.88 135 $12,538.13 $12,563.69 +$597.38
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 1:05pm ET $94.07 133 $12,511.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $91.21 133 $12,130.93 $12,183.31 $-380.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2024 11:40am ET $93.09 130 $12,101.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 9:35am ET $89.66 130 $11,655.80 $11,737.41 $-445.90
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 1:10pm ET $92.53 126 $11,658.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 9:35am ET $89.50 126 $11,277.00 $11,355.63 $-381.78
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 10:45am ET $89.43 126 $11,267.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 11:40am ET $93.93 126 $11,834.80 $11,922.88 +$567.25
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 12:00pm ET $95.80 124 $11,879.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2025 9:30am ET $101.69 124 $12,608.94 $12,652.62 +$729.74
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2025 3:20pm ET $105.75 119 $12,583.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET $111.06 119 $13,216.14 $13,285.11 +$632.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 2:15pm ET $111.30 119 $13,244.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 10:00am ET $117.07 119 $13,931.33 $13,972.33 +$687.22
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 11:05am ET $114.96 121 $13,910.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 12:15pm ET $111.37 121 $13,475.77 $13,537.94 $-434.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 9:35am ET $111.39 121 $13,477.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET $107.96 121 $13,063.16 $13,123.52 $-414.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 9:45am ET $105.97 123 $13,034.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET $111.33 123 $13,692.98 $13,782.18 +$658.67
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 9:35am ET $109.88 125 $13,735.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $104.39 125 $13,048.75 $13,095.93 $-686.25
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $105.36 124 $13,064.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $101.94 124 $12,639.94 $12,671.23 $-424.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 3:40pm ET $104.41 121 $12,633.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET $101.22 121 $12,247.62 $12,285.24 $-385.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 9:30am ET $105.50 116 $12,238.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $101.71 116 $11,797.78 $11,845.02 $-440.22
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2025 2:50pm ET $105.76 111 $11,739.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 11:25am ET $102.54 111 $11,381.94 $11,487.60 $-357.42
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
22 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 12:05pm ET $99.50 115 $11,442.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $95.66 115 $11,000.90 $11,046.00 $-441.60
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 9:55am ET $97.16 113 $10,978.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:10am ET $102.38 113 $11,568.94 $11,636.43 +$590.42
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
24 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:05am ET $101.77 114 $11,601.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 3:00pm ET $98.60 114 $11,240.40 $11,275.05 $-361.38
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 2:10pm ET $105.11 107 $11,246.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:10am ET $110.58 107 $11,832.06 $11,860.34 +$585.29
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
26 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 11:25am ET $109.83 107 $11,751.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 10:55am ET $106.36 107 $11,380.52 $11,489.05 $-371.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:25pm ET $106.72 107 $11,419.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:45am ET $112.42 107 $12,028.41 $12,098.41 +$609.37
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 12:35pm ET $111.92 108 $12,087.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 11:05am ET $108.49 108 $11,716.92 $11,727.97 $-370.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 11:40am ET $109.16 107 $11,679.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET $116.44 107 $12,459.08 $12,507.47 +$779.50
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $114.36 109 $12,465.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 12:45pm ET $110.78 109 $12,074.48 $12,116.70 $-390.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 3:20pm ET $109.83 110 $12,081.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET $119.85 110 $13,183.50 $13,218.90 +$1,102.20
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 11:25am ET $118.72 111 $13,177.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $115.06 111 $12,771.66 $12,813.20 $-405.71
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 2:05pm ET $114.00 112 $12,768.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 2:15pm ET $110.57 112 $12,383.84 $12,429.04 $-384.16
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:50am ET $113.59 109 $12,380.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:20am ET $110.09 109 $11,999.81 $12,048.08 $-380.95
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 3:40pm ET $113.09 106 $11,987.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET $118.77 106 $12,589.84 $12,650.91 +$602.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $117.31 107 $12,552.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $123.57 107 $13,221.46 $13,320.20 +$669.29
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 3:05pm ET $122.70 108 $13,251.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:35am ET $118.84 108 $12,834.18 $12,902.78 $-417.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET $119.98 107 $12,837.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $126.00 107 $13,482.00 $13,546.92 +$644.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17d held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $123.44 109 $13,454.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET $119.68 109 $13,044.58 $13,137.08 $-409.84
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $122.64 107 $13,122.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $118.88 107 $12,720.16 $12,734.76 $-402.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:40am ET $121.42 104 $12,627.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $117.49 104 $12,218.44 $12,325.52 $-409.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:15am ET $120.43 102 $12,283.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $126.49 102 $12,901.47 $12,943.13 +$617.61
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $131.52 98 $12,888.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $140.19 98 $13,738.62 $13,793.28 +$850.15
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $139.80 98 $13,700.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.20 98 $14,523.60 $14,616.48 +$823.20
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $151.47 96 $14,541.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.68 96 $14,560.80 $14,636.16 +$19.68
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $147.20 99 $14,572.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $155.42 99 $15,386.58 $15,449.94 +$813.78
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $154.27 100 $15,427.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $148.97 100 $14,897.00 $14,919.94 $-530.00
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $148.45 100 $14,845.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:15am ET $143.84 100 $14,384.00 $14,458.94 $-461.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $150.02 96 $14,402.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $145.26 96 $13,945.44 $14,001.98 $-456.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $144.47 96 $13,869.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $140.09 96 $13,448.64 $13,581.50 $-420.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:35pm ET $140.33 96 $13,471.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $136.07 96 $13,063.20 $13,173.02 $-408.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.03 96 $13,058.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $142.91 96 $13,719.84 $13,833.98 +$660.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $139.34 99 $13,794.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $134.26 99 $13,291.25 $13,330.57 $-503.41
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $132.21 100 $13,221.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:35am ET $128.16 100 $12,816.50 $12,926.07 $-404.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $129.17 100 $12,917.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $135.76 100 $13,576.00 $13,585.07 +$659.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
56 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $129.87 104 $13,506.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $136.64 104 $14,210.81 $14,289.40 +$704.33
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
57 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $132.85 107 $14,215.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $128.65 107 $13,765.02 $13,838.93 $-450.47
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
58 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $130.23 106 $13,804.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:25am ET $136.88 106 $14,509.28 $14,543.83 +$704.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $132.25 109 $14,415.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $127.44 109 $13,890.96 $14,019.54 $-524.29
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET $128.02 109 $13,953.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 109 $13,483.30 $13,548.93 $-470.61
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $123.18 109 $13,426.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $129.75 109 $14,142.75 $14,265.06 +$716.13
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
62 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET $128.16 111 $14,226.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $135.60 111 $15,051.32 $15,090.07 +$825.01
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $135.34 111 $15,022.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:40am ET $131.21 111 $14,564.86 $14,632.20 $-457.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
64 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $130.13 112 $14,574.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $137.81 112 $15,434.72 $15,492.08 +$859.88
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
65 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $134.05 115 $15,415.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $129.30 115 $14,869.50 $14,945.83 $-546.25
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
66 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:15am ET $131.28 113 $14,834.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.26 113 $15,623.38 $15,734.57 +$788.74
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2d held
67 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $143.26 109 $15,615.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $151.11 109 $16,470.99 $16,589.68 +$855.11
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.98 110 $16,497.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET $145.43 110 $15,997.85 $16,089.73 $-499.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $144.13 111 $15,998.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $152.53 111 $16,930.83 $17,022.05 +$932.32
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,022.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,022.05
Total Return: +70.22%
Back to Marcus Reversal