GLD Marcus Reversal's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 59 trades executed
+87.73%
2 Years Return
$23,617.18
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$12,580.69
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
62
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality
74.6/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 62.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,580.69
Current Value
$23,617.18
Total P&L
$11,036.52
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
48
Winners / Losers
30 /
18
Best Trade
+6.13%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.50%
Avg Hold Time
13.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,814,729.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,036.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,036.52
Gross Return
+87.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+87.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,580.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2024 2:10pm ET | $232.77 | 51 | $11,871.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2024 10:50am ET | $244.50 | 51 | $12,469.50 | $12,670.45 |
+$598.23 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2024 11:15am ET | $245.68 | 51 | $12,529.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 25, 2024 11:15am ET | $253.02 | 51 | $12,904.02 | $13,044.79 |
+$374.34 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2024 2:35pm ET | $253.17 | 51 | $12,911.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $245.04 | 51 | $12,496.79 | $12,630.16 |
$-414.63 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 2:00pm ET | $248.27 | 50 | $12,413.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 10:00am ET | $240.71 | 50 | $12,035.50 | $12,252.06 |
$-378.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 11:50am ET | $239.00 | 51 | $12,189.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2024 12:00pm ET | $250.98 | 51 | $12,799.98 | $12,863.04 |
+$610.98 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
28d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2024 3:00pm ET | $247.53 | 51 | $12,624.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET | $239.64 | 51 | $12,221.64 | $12,460.65 |
$-402.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 3:50pm ET | $242.13 | 51 | $12,348.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $251.86 | 51 | $12,844.86 | $12,956.88 |
+$496.23 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2025 2:30pm ET | $254.25 | 50 | $12,712.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $268.02 | 50 | $13,401.00 | $13,645.38 |
+$688.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $266.88 | 51 | $13,610.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:00am ET | $273.88 | 51 | $13,967.89 | $14,002.38 |
+$357.01 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 11:15am ET | $274.84 | 50 | $13,742.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $288.72 | 50 | $14,435.86 | $14,696.24 |
+$693.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 1:30pm ET | $287.97 | 51 | $14,686.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $279.03 | 51 | $14,230.53 | $14,240.30 |
$-455.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 11:25am ET | $275.40 | 51 | $14,045.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $289.67 | 51 | $14,772.97 | $14,967.86 |
+$727.57 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 12:50pm ET | $297.14 | 50 | $14,857.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $314.18 | 50 | $15,709.00 | $15,819.86 |
+$852.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 12:25pm ET | $312.20 | 50 | $15,610.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $302.28 | 50 | $15,114.00 | $15,323.86 |
$-496.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $301.48 | 50 | $15,073.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 2:55pm ET | $292.34 | 50 | $14,617.00 | $14,867.11 |
$-456.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $293.34 | 50 | $14,667.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $308.11 | 50 | $15,405.50 | $15,605.61 |
+$738.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $304.10 | 51 | $15,509.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $304.97 | 51 | $15,553.47 | $15,649.99 |
+$44.38 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $300.30 | 52 | $15,615.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $315.39 | 52 | $16,400.28 | $16,434.93 |
+$784.94 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 11:45am ET | $313.91 | 52 | $16,323.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 9:50am ET | $304.49 | 52 | $15,833.22 | $15,944.83 |
$-490.09 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 11:50am ET | $305.77 | 52 | $15,900.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 11:50am ET | $313.83 | 52 | $16,318.96 | $16,363.75 |
+$418.92 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 3:15pm ET | $328.22 | 49 | $16,082.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 1:35pm ET | $344.71 | 49 | $16,890.79 | $17,171.76 |
+$808.01 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 2:55pm ET | $345.72 | 49 | $16,940.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $363.02 | 49 | $17,787.74 | $18,019.21 |
+$847.45 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:55am ET | $364.96 | 49 | $17,883.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $385.26 | 49 | $18,877.50 | $19,013.67 |
+$994.46 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $390.03 | 48 | $18,721.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $377.37 | 48 | $18,113.76 | $18,405.99 |
$-607.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:45am ET | $370.20 | 49 | $18,139.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $374.11 | 49 | $18,331.39 | $18,597.58 |
+$191.59 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:40pm ET | $380.68 | 48 | $18,272.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:50am ET | $399.99 | 48 | $19,199.28 | $19,524.46 |
+$926.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:20am ET | $394.95 | 49 | $19,352.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $416.59 | 49 | $20,412.91 | $20,584.82 |
+$1,060.36 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $402.83 | 51 | $20,544.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $423.98 | 51 | $21,622.73 | $21,663.21 |
+$1,078.40 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $422.01 | 51 | $21,522.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.51 | 51 | $22,771.93 | $22,912.63 |
+$1,249.42 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $455.82 | 50 | $22,791.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $483.78 | 50 | $24,189.00 | $24,310.44 |
+$1,397.81 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $470.35 | 51 | $23,987.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $495.35 | 51 | $25,262.60 | $25,585.18 |
+$1,274.74 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $444.89 | 57 | $25,358.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $430.23 | 57 | $24,523.11 | $24,749.56 |
$-835.62 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $453.30 | 54 | $24,478.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $466.93 | 54 | $25,214.41 | $25,485.77 |
+$736.20 (+3.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $449.92 | 56 | $25,195.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.64 | 56 | $26,579.84 | $26,870.09 |
+$1,384.32 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.94 | 57 | $26,786.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.07 | 57 | $25,425.99 | $25,509.50 |
$-1,360.59 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $420.00 | 60 | $25,200.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.32 | 60 | $24,259.20 | $24,568.70 |
$-940.80 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.75 | 61 | $24,445.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $421.07 | 61 | $25,685.27 | $25,808.22 |
+$1,239.52 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $437.87 | 58 | $25,396.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.53 | 58 | $24,506.74 | $24,918.50 |
$-889.72 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $427.62 | 58 | $24,801.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $414.53 | 58 | $24,042.74 | $24,159.28 |
$-759.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $423.24 | 57 | $24,124.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.70 | 57 | $23,067.90 | $23,102.50 |
$-1,056.78 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
26.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.53 | 56 | $22,765.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $393.61 | 56 | $22,042.16 | $22,378.98 |
$-723.52 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $379.97 | 58 | $22,038.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.58 | 58 | $23,175.64 | $23,516.35 |
+$1,137.37 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $397.48 | 59 | $23,451.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.16 | 59 | $22,665.44 | $22,730.18 |
$-786.17 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.74 | 60 | $22,664.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.84 | 60 | $21,890.41 | $21,956.19 |
$-773.99 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:05pm ET | $369.65 | 59 | $21,809.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.04 | 59 | $22,068.36 | $22,215.20 |
+$259.01 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
31.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.67 | 60 | $22,180.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $388.15 | 60 | $23,289.30 | $23,324.30 |
+$1,109.10 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $390.01 | 59 | $23,010.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $410.27 | 59 | $24,206.17 | $24,519.88 |
+$1,195.58 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $413.66 | 59 | $24,405.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $398.36 | 59 | $23,503.24 | $23,617.18 |
$-902.70 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$23,617.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$13,617.18
Total Return:
+136.17%