Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:35

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.8/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 46.3/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 43.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
51,521
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,385.50
Current Value
$16,887.15
Total P&L
$6,501.66
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
59
Winners / Losers
30 / 29
Best Trade
+10.09%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,547,205.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,501.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,501.66
Gross Return
+62.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+62.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $10,385.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 2:15pm ET $145.92 70 $10,214.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET $141.50 70 $9,904.65 $9,905.65 $-309.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 27, 2024 12:30pm ET $144.65 68 $9,836.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2024 9:50am ET $152.05 68 $10,339.40 $10,408.85 +$503.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 4, 2024 10:40am ET $150.79 69 $10,404.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $153.69 69 $10,604.94 $10,609.28 +$200.43
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2024 12:20pm ET $153.88 68 $10,463.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 2:20pm ET $161.58 68 $10,987.44 $11,132.88 +$523.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $159.63 69 $11,014.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 10:25am ET $154.83 69 $10,683.27 $10,802.03 $-330.85
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 10:25am ET $153.72 70 $10,760.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $147.77 70 $10,343.90 $10,385.53 $-416.50
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 10:10am ET $146.87 70 $10,280.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 11:05am ET $142.23 70 $9,956.10 $10,060.73 $-324.80
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 2:05pm ET $141.83 70 $9,928.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $149.50 70 $10,464.65 $10,597.28 +$536.55
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 3:00pm ET $149.70 70 $10,479.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $157.48 70 $11,023.60 $11,141.88 +$544.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:40am ET $159.12 70 $11,138.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $151.65 70 $10,615.15 $10,618.63 $-523.25
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 12:25pm ET $149.70 70 $10,479.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2025 9:55am ET $157.22 70 $11,005.05 $11,144.37 +$525.74
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2025 12:00pm ET $156.16 71 $11,087.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $151.25 71 $10,738.40 $10,795.40 $-348.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET $150.85 71 $10,710.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET $158.44 71 $11,249.24 $11,334.29 +$538.89
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 10:10am ET $154.93 73 $11,310.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 9:50am ET $163.03 73 $11,901.19 $11,925.37 +$591.08
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 11:25am ET $163.61 72 $11,779.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 9:50am ET $158.70 72 $11,426.40 $11,571.85 $-353.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:50am ET $148.42 77 $11,427.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 2:40pm ET $143.58 77 $11,055.66 $11,199.56 $-372.29
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 3:05pm ET $139.43 80 $11,154.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $135.07 80 $10,805.60 $10,851.09 $-348.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $141.23 76 $10,733.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $136.64 76 $10,384.64 $10,502.25 $-348.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:40am ET $136.26 77 $10,492.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $143.09 77 $11,017.93 $11,028.16 +$525.91
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
28d held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $141.53 77 $10,897.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 2:25pm ET $137.16 77 $10,561.32 $10,691.67 $-336.49
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
21 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 2:45pm ET $136.19 78 $10,622.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $143.17 78 $11,167.26 $11,236.50 +$544.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 2:10pm ET $144.65 77 $11,138.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $152.04 77 $11,706.99 $11,805.43 +$568.94
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 2:20pm ET $152.82 77 $11,767.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 2:25pm ET $148.06 77 $11,400.62 $11,438.91 $-366.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $150.11 76 $11,408.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:10pm ET $158.00 76 $12,008.01 $12,038.56 +$599.65
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 2:10pm ET $155.64 77 $11,983.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $159.97 77 $12,317.31 $12,371.97 +$333.41
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
30d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $157.49 78 $12,283.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:45am ET $152.50 78 $11,895.00 $11,983.14 $-388.83
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:20pm ET $154.04 77 $11,861.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:55am ET $149.36 77 $11,500.72 $11,622.78 $-360.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 2:50pm ET $151.21 76 $11,491.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:45am ET $158.82 76 $12,069.94 $12,200.76 +$577.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 12:50pm ET $155.35 78 $12,117.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET $150.48 78 $11,737.44 $11,820.90 $-379.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET $151.74 77 $11,683.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $147.13 77 $11,329.01 $11,465.93 $-354.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:25pm ET $148.55 77 $11,438.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 77 $12,591.80 $12,619.69 +$1,153.76
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.46 77 $12,586.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET $158.49 77 $12,203.73 $12,237.00 $-382.69
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $155.83 78 $12,154.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $163.70 78 $12,768.60 $12,850.86 +$613.86
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $167.07 76 $12,696.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $175.76 76 $13,357.76 $13,511.68 +$660.82
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $174.42 77 $13,430.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.67 77 $14,065.59 $14,146.93 +$635.25
(+4.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
7d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $181.70 77 $13,990.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET $191.14 77 $14,717.78 $14,873.81 +$726.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $185.24 80 $14,819.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET $194.61 80 $15,568.80 $15,623.41 +$749.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $195.04 80 $15,603.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:35am ET $204.88 80 $16,390.40 $16,410.61 +$787.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $203.79 80 $16,303.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $214.07 80 $17,125.44 $17,232.85 +$822.24
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:05pm ET $211.58 81 $17,137.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $204.36 81 $16,553.16 $16,648.02 $-584.83
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $195.50 85 $16,617.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $188.88 85 $16,054.80 $16,085.32 $-562.70
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:05am ET $195.08 82 $15,996.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $188.32 82 $15,442.24 $15,531.01 $-554.31
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $189.79 81 $15,372.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $181.86 81 $14,730.66 $14,888.68 $-642.33
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:35am ET $184.45 80 $14,756.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $193.68 80 $15,494.40 $15,627.08 +$738.40
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
45 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $190.24 82 $15,599.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:10am ET $184.19 82 $15,103.58 $15,130.98 $-496.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
46 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:10am ET $180.30 83 $14,964.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:55am ET $189.41 83 $15,721.03 $15,887.11 +$756.13
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
47 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $194.39 81 $15,745.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:15am ET $188.19 81 $15,243.39 $15,384.91 $-502.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
48 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $181.52 84 $15,247.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $190.71 84 $16,019.64 $16,156.87 +$771.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $188.57 85 $16,028.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 85 $15,206.50 $15,334.92 $-821.95
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $179.64 85 $15,269.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $173.66 85 $14,761.10 $14,826.61 $-508.31
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $174.52 84 $14,659.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:30am ET $169.20 84 $14,212.80 $14,379.73 $-446.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET $167.84 85 $14,265.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 85 $15,130.00 $15,243.75 +$864.02
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:10am ET $174.55 87 $15,185.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $183.40 87 $15,956.23 $16,014.13 +$770.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:50am ET $186.49 85 $15,851.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $196.09 85 $16,667.81 $16,830.29 +$816.16
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.21 86 $16,701.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET $187.73 86 $16,144.78 $16,273.44 $-556.85
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $191.64 84 $16,097.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $201.23 84 $16,903.32 $17,079.00 +$805.56
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET $203.95 83 $16,927.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $197.82 83 $16,419.47 $16,570.63 $-508.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $201.32 82 $16,507.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $211.74 82 $17,362.68 $17,425.48 +$854.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $211.69 82 $17,358.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $205.13 82 $16,820.25 $16,887.15 $-538.33
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,887.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,887.15
Total Return: +68.87%
Back to Marcus Reversal