Compendium › Marcus Reversal › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 2 trades in period

+2.78%
Last Month Return
$14,559.06
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$14,165.94
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:35:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 33.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,165.94
Current Value
$14,559.06
Period P&L
$393.11
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+5.29%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.11%
Avg Hold Time
12.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,620.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$393.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$393.11
Gross Return
+2.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $14,165.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $264.65 53 $14,026.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $256.55 53 $13,596.89 $13,837.62 $-429.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $252.55 54 $13,637.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $265.91 54 $14,359.14 $14,559.06 +$721.44
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,559.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,559.06
Total Return: +45.59%
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