Compendium › Marcus Reversal › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 3 trades in period

-2.86%
Last Month Return
$12,218.47
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$12,577.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:21:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 24.4/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 22.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,577.74
Current Value
$12,218.47
Period P&L
$-359.28
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
10.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$75,116.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-359.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-359.28
Gross Return
-2.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,577.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:30am ET $210.38 58 $12,202.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $221.10 58 $12,824.09 $12,990.71 +$621.76
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $229.07 56 $12,827.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $222.18 56 $12,442.08 $12,604.87 $-385.84
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $225.06 56 $12,603.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:25am ET $218.16 56 $12,216.96 $12,218.47 $-386.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,218.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,218.47
Total Return: +22.18%
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