Compendium › Marcus Reversal › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.03%
Last Month Return
$11,755.89
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$12,377.96
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 08:35:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.4/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 20.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,377.96
Current Value
$11,755.89
Period P&L
$-622.08
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+6.01%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.84%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,483.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-622.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-622.08
Gross Return
-5.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $12,377.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $207.48 58 $12,033.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $200.92 58 $11,653.36 $11,803.77 $-380.48
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:40am ET $203.68 57 $11,609.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET $197.24 57 $11,242.68 $11,436.69 $-367.08
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $198.96 57 $11,340.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $210.91 57 $12,022.15 $12,118.41 +$681.72
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.03 57 $11,971.71 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $203.67 57 $11,609.19 $11,755.89 $-362.52
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,755.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,755.89
Total Return: +17.56%
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