Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 01:23:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-10.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,794.04
Current Value
$5,189.90
Period P&L
$-604.12
Max Drawdown
-42.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-3.83%
Avg Trade Return
-1.92%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$67,293.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-604.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-604.12
Gross Return
-10.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,794.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:40am ET $242.82 24 $5,827.80
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $255.71 24 $6,137.04 $6,137.58 +$309.24
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $272.80 22 $6,001.49
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $264.17 22 $5,811.63 $5,947.72 $-189.86
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $256.34 23 $5,895.82
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $246.51 23 $5,669.73 $5,721.63 $-226.09
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $241.70 23 $5,559.10
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $233.66 23 $5,374.18 $5,536.71 $-184.92
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $235.62 23 $5,419.26
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $227.99 23 $5,243.66 $5,361.11 $-175.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 26 $5,262.40
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $195.82 26 $5,091.19 $5,189.90 $-171.21
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,189.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,810.10
Total Return: -48.10%
Back to Marcus Reversal