Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:25:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

5
-2.8%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,306.01
Current Value
$4,912.33
Period P&L
$-393.74
Max Drawdown
-59.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+6.66%
Worst Trade
-8.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.82%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,835.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-393.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-393.74
Gross Return
-7.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $5,306.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $2.69 1,972 $5,304.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $2.61 1,972 $5,137.06 $5,138.45 $-167.62
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $2.72 1,889 $5,138.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $2.63 1,889 $4,968.07 $4,968.44 $-170.01
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:50am ET $2.60 1,910 $4,968.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:55am ET $2.74 1,910 $5,233.40 $5,233.55 +$265.11
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $2.71 1,930 $5,230.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $2.48 1,930 $4,796.05 $4,798.72 $-434.83
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:05am ET $2.55 1,881 $4,796.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $2.45 1,881 $4,603.75 $4,605.92 $-192.80
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $2.48 1,857 $4,605.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $2.64 1,857 $4,911.76 $4,912.51 +$306.59
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $2.67 1,836 $4,911.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:40am ET $2.81 1,836 $5,159.16 $5,160.37 +$247.86
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $2.91 1,773 $5,159.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET $2.77 1,773 $4,911.39 $4,912.33 $-248.04
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,912.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,087.67
Total Return: -50.88%
Back to Marcus Reversal