Compendium › Marcus Reversal › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 3 trades in period

+16.96%
Last Month Return
$19,551.28
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$16,716.40
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:35:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 47.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 45.5

30-Day Momentum

60
+25.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,716.40
Current Value
$19,551.28
Period P&L
$2,834.86
Max Drawdown
-18.5%
Sharpe Ratio
11.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+6.06%
Worst Trade
+5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.39%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,466.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,834.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,834.86
Gross Return
+16.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,716.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $231.21 72 $16,647.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $245.23 72 $17,656.57 $17,725.87 +$1,009.45
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.33 71 $17,560.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $259.88 71 $18,451.48 $18,616.92 +$891.05
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $262.09 71 $18,608.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $275.25 71 $19,542.75 $19,551.28 +$934.36
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,551.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,551.28
Total Return: +95.51%
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