Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:27:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 37.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.1

30-Day Momentum

35
+14.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.1 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,322.39
Current Value
$20,022.12
Period P&L
$1,699.74
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+11.80%
Worst Trade
-8.27%
Avg Trade Return
+1.34%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$305,370.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,699.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,699.74
Gross Return
+9.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $18,322.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $242.58 75 $18,193.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $255.20 75 $19,139.63 $19,268.51 +$946.13
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $248.80 77 $19,157.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $241.29 77 $18,579.71 $18,690.62 $-577.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $235.00 79 $18,565.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $252.35 79 $19,935.65 $20,061.27 +$1,370.65
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $262.44 76 $19,945.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $252.10 76 $19,159.60 $19,275.43 $-785.84
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $264.23 72 $19,024.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $242.38 72 $17,451.36 $17,702.23 $-1,573.20
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $246.14 71 $17,475.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $260.13 71 $18,469.23 $18,695.52 +$993.29
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $265.63 70 $18,594.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $296.97 70 $20,787.90 $20,889.32 +$2,193.80
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $331.42 63 $20,879.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $317.65 63 $20,012.26 $20,022.12 $-867.20
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,022.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,022.12
Total Return: +100.22%
Back to Marcus Reversal