Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 01:23:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 26.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.0

30-Day Momentum

5
-8.5%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,160.91
Current Value
$14,510.59
Period P&L
$-1,650.32
Max Drawdown
-27.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-15.36%
Avg Trade Return
-1.01%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$213,093.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,650.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,650.32
Gross Return
-10.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $16,160.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $418.93 37 $15,500.41
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 37 $16,325.51 $16,677.80 +$825.10
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $456.99 36 $16,451.64
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 36 $17,580.24 $17,806.40 +$1,128.60
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $483.29 36 $17,398.44
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $409.07 36 $14,726.52 $15,134.48 $-2,671.92
(-15.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $403.96 37 $14,946.52
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $391.03 37 $14,468.11 $14,656.07 $-478.41
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $386.49 37 $14,300.13
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $373.04 37 $13,802.30 $14,158.24 $-497.83
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $373.11 37 $13,805.07
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 37 $14,624.25 $14,977.42 +$819.18
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 38 $14,815.44
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $377.60 38 $14,348.61 $14,510.59 $-466.83
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,510.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,510.59
Total Return: +45.11%
Back to Marcus Reversal