Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:35:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 36.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 35.0

30-Day Momentum

32
+8.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.9 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,359.73
Current Value
$17,643.31
Period P&L
$283.56
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-3.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
11d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$71,184.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$283.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$283.56
Gross Return
+1.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $17,359.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $124.54 139 $17,311.06
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $130.96 139 $18,203.44 $18,252.13 +$892.38
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET $130.50 139 $18,139.50
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $126.12 139 $17,530.68 $17,643.31 $-608.82
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,643.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,643.31
Total Return: +76.43%
Back to Marcus Reversal