Compendium › Marcus Reversal › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-13.95%
Last Month Return
$6,701.74
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$7,787.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:31:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

1
-12.3%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,787.94
Current Value
$6,701.74
Period P&L
$-1,086.21
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-25.91

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-3.07%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
-3.24%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,228.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,086.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,086.21
Gross Return
-13.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,787.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:05am ET $26.34 290 $7,638.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $25.44 290 $7,377.60 $7,383.40 $-261.00
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:35am ET $24.91 296 $7,373.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:15am ET $24.15 296 $7,146.92 $7,156.96 $-226.44
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:15am ET $23.29 307 $7,150.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.55 307 $6,921.32 $6,928.24 $-228.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $22.92 302 $6,923.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $22.17 302 $6,696.85 $6,701.74 $-226.50
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,701.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,298.26
Total Return: -32.98%
Back to Marcus Reversal