Compendium › Marcus Reversal › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Marcus Reversal's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-3.22%
Last Month Return
$12,698.84
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$13,121.56
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.5

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,121.56
Current Value
$12,698.84
Period P&L
$-422.73
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.23%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
-1.27%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$104,733.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-422.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-422.73
Gross Return
-3.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $13,121.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $134.80 99 $13,345.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $130.09 99 $12,878.91 $12,931.49 $-466.29
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $130.20 99 $12,889.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $137.01 99 $13,563.99 $13,605.68 +$674.19
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $136.40 99 $13,503.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $131.19 99 $12,987.78 $13,089.86 $-515.82
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $132.43 98 $12,977.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET $128.43 98 $12,586.63 $12,698.84 $-391.02
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,698.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,698.84
Total Return: +26.99%
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