Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:30:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

3
-9.9%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,593.52
Current Value
$6,635.83
Period P&L
$-957.67
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+5.78%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
-1.86%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,121.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-957.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-957.67
Gross Return
-12.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Marcus Reversal had $7,593.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.39 311 $7,583.74
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $23.64 311 $7,351.73 $7,361.49 $-232.01
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $25.89 284 $7,352.76
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.00 284 $7,100.00 $7,108.73 $-252.76
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.56 278 $7,105.68
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $24.78 278 $6,888.84 $6,891.89 $-216.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $26.63 258 $6,870.54
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $28.17 258 $7,267.34 $7,288.69 +$396.80
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:10am ET $29.47 247 $7,277.86
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.52 247 $7,044.44 $7,055.28 $-233.41
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET $28.45 247 $7,027.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET $27.59 247 $6,815.96 $6,844.09 $-211.19
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.55 267 $6,821.85
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $24.77 267 $6,613.59 $6,635.83 $-208.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,635.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,364.17
Total Return: -33.64%
Back to Marcus Reversal